Current reading
Why now: —
Main concern: rich valuation
Market regime: Risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.22
BGC Group, Inc.
BGCLatest close: 2026-09-25 · USD
Trading Opportunity—Unavailable
Investment Opportunity34.7low
Company Quality44.2moderate
Valuation19.9low
Momentum49.3moderate
Timing—Unavailable
Risk41.1moderate
Market Compatibility46.3moderate
Confidence48.2/100
What could change the thesis
- Next earnings on 11/05/2026 (date confirmed by the provider), in 37 days. Details
- Market regime: Risk-on; stock compatibility 46. Details
Dated facts already in the analysis, not forecasts. Each item links to the section that explains it. · thesis-watch-v1
Why these scores
Confidence measures data/model reliability, not probability of profit. 0 = relatively low risk · 100 = very high risk
Compared with companies observed by Krazerr, not the entire sector. (43)
Peer companies (43)
Company Quality · 44.2
Coverage: 69.2% · company-quality-v1.5
| Why this score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Business efficiency | — | — |
| Cash flow | — | — |
| Earnings quality | — | — |
| Financial strength | — | — |
| Growth | 43.7 | 19.4 |
| Profitability | 44.6 | 24.8 |
Confidence · 48.2
Coverage: 65.0% · confidence-v1.2
| Why this score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Completeness | 79.5 | 19.9 |
| Cross source agreement | — | — |
| Event certainty | 100.0 | 5.0 |
| Financial discrepancy | 100.0 | 0.0 |
| Freshness | 58.7 | 8.8 |
| Model agreement | — | — |
| Source reliability | 72.7 | 14.5 |
| Stability | — | — |
Investment Opportunity · 34.7
Coverage: 85.0% · investment-opportunity-v1
| Why this score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Company quality | 44.2 | 18.2 |
| Market compatibility | 46.3 | 8.2 |
| Momentum | 49.3 | 5.8 |
| Risk adjustment | — | -3.4 |
| Valuation | 19.9 | 5.9 |
Market Compatibility · 46.3
Coverage: 100.0% · market-compatibility-v2.2
| Why this score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Breadth | 44.0 | 4.4 |
| Liquidity | 52.0 | 5.2 |
| Rates | 50.0 | 7.5 |
| Sector strength | 25.0 | 6.2 |
| Trend | 56.9 | 14.2 |
| Volatility | 58.2 | 8.7 |
Exposures measured over 252 sessions: S&P 500 beta 0.32 (t 1.9); return per +1 point in the 10Y 0.004 (t 0.1).
Compatibility = 50 + (regime factor − 50) × exposure. Exposures scaled (beta 1.5 and 0.20 per point = full exposure) and shrunk when |t| < 2. Historical sensitivity, not a forecast.
Sector Financial Services (XLF): above the 50-session average ✗, the 200-session average ✓; 50-session strength versus SPY -6.0%.
Sector strength = mean of the sector ETF trend (0, 50 or 100 by averages exceeded) and its change relative to SPY from −5% to +5% mapped to 0–100. It describes the sector, not the company.
Momentum · 49.3
Coverage: 100.0% · momentum-v1.1
| Why this score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Highs | 79.6 | 8.8 |
| Multi timeframe | 49.5 | 11.0 |
| Relative strength | 35.8 | 9.9 |
| Trend | 66.7 | 14.8 |
| Volume | 28.5 | 4.7 |
Risk · 41.1
Coverage: 100.0% · risk-v1.3
| Why this score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Drawdown | 57.4 | 10.1 |
| Event | 22.4 | 4.0 |
| Financial | — | — |
| Liquidity | 57.2 | 6.7 |
| Rate sensitivity | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Valuation | 80.1 | 14.1 |
| Volatility | 25.8 | 6.1 |
Timing · —
Coverage: 42.5% · timing-v1.1
| Why this score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Entry position | 100.0 | — |
| Risk reward | — | — |
| Short term | 81.3 | — |
| Structure | — | — |
| Volume confirmation | 38.0 | — |
Not computed: data available for 42.5% of the weights, below the 60.0% threshold. A missing value is not zero.
Timing unavailable: the stock is no longer among the screener setups; its last plan (entry, target, invalidation) is from 09/21/2026 and too old to use. Momentum and risk are computed from daily prices.
Trading Opportunity · —
Coverage: 70.0% · trading-opportunity-v1
| Why this score | Score | Δ |
|---|
Trading Opportunity requires Momentum and Timing: without a screener setup Timing is missing, so it is not computed. Investment Opportunity remains available.
Valuation · 19.9
Coverage: 65.1% · valuation-v1.4
| Why this score | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Absolute | — | — |
| Cash flow | — | — |
| Growth adjusted | — | — |
| Historical | 50.3 | 16.6 |
| Peers | 4.9 | 3.3 |
Financial statements and earnings quality
Annual metrics prioritize SEC statements when periods, currency and definitions are consistent. Where official coverage is missing, the fallback source is shown. Ambiguous data is excluded; current metrics remain separate.
| Metric | Value | Source | Fiscal periods used |
|---|---|---|---|
| Free cash flow growth | 34.95% | Yahoo | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31 |
| Interest coverage (×) | 2.71 | Yahoo | 2025-12-31 |
| Asset turnover (×) | — | SEC · Not calculable | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31 |
| Earnings stability | — | SEC · Not calculable | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31 |
| Operating margin stability | — | SEC · Not calculable | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31 |
Stability ranges from 0 to 1: higher means lower variability over three observed positive fiscal years. It is not a probability of profit. Missing metrics remain unavailable.
Some SEC metrics cannot be calculated from verified data: they remain excluded, without switching to alternate values when there is a conflict.
Annual fallback provider values
yfinance · USD
First acquired: 2026-09-21T12:40:19.679524Z
| Fiscal year end | Revenue | Net income | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (signed flow) | Total assets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 2,887,635,000 | 154,962,000 | 394,353,000 | -66,034,000 | 4,411,989,000 |
| 2024-12-31 | 2,206,595,000 | 126,988,000 | 315,350,000 | -72,055,000 | 3,591,967,000 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1,979,979,000 | 36,265,000 | 405,203,000 | -59,898,000 | 3,175,937,000 |
| 2022-12-31 | 1,774,295,000 | 48,712,000 | 224,362,000 | -58,760,000 | 3,074,971,000 |
Sources and selection reasons
- Asset turnover (×): Excluded: a later filing has not yet been verified.
- Earnings stability: Excluded: a later filing has not yet been verified.
- Free cash flow growth: SEC definition not yet mapped; the fallback provider is used where available.
- Interest coverage (×): SEC definition not yet mapped; the fallback provider is used where available.
- Operating margin stability: Excluded: a later filing has not yet been verified.
Show advanced data
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}Check against official statements
Numerical SEC–Yahoo comparison by fiscal year and currency. Matching numbers do not certify identical accounting definitions. Metric sources and the effect on reliability are shown above.
Matching values across compared fiscal years: 3 · Differences to review: 3 · Non-comparable or missing values: 36
First acquired: 2026-09-28T16:32:52.383083Z
Fiscal year end 2025-12-31
10-K · Filed on 2026-03-02
Read the document ↗A later filing for this fiscal year has no supported annual values: any amendments remain unverified.
| Metric | SEC | Yahoo | Comparison result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 2,887,635,000 USD | Conflicting official values |
| Operating income | — | 300,564,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Net income | 154,962,000 USD | 154,962,000 USD | Matches within tolerance |
| Operating cash flow | 394,353,000 USD | 394,353,000 USD | Matches within tolerance |
| Total assets | 4,411,989,000 USD | 4,411,989,000 USD | Matches within tolerance |
| Payments for property, plant and equipment | 21,488,000 USD | — | Distinct component: not compared |
| Payments for software development | — | — | Official value missing |
Value provenance and definitions
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}Fiscal year end 2024-12-31
10-K/A · Filed on 2026-04-28
Read the document ↗| Metric | SEC | Yahoo | Comparison result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 2,206,595,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Operating income | — | 185,101,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Net income | 123,228,000 USD | 126,988,000 USD | Difference to review |
| Operating cash flow | — | 315,350,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Total assets | — | 3,591,967,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Payments for property, plant and equipment | — | — | Official value missing |
| Payments for software development | — | — | Official value missing |
Value provenance and definitions
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}Fiscal year end 2023-12-31
10-K/A · Filed on 2026-04-28
Read the document ↗| Metric | SEC | Yahoo | Comparison result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 1,979,979,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Operating income | — | 138,658,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Net income | 38,775,000 USD | 36,265,000 USD | Difference to review |
| Operating cash flow | — | 405,203,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Total assets | — | 3,175,937,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Payments for property, plant and equipment | — | — | Official value missing |
| Payments for software development | — | — | Official value missing |
Value provenance and definitions
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}Fiscal year end 2022-12-31
10-K/A · Filed on 2026-04-28
Read the document ↗| Metric | SEC | Yahoo | Comparison result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 1,774,295,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Operating income | — | 202,543,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Net income | 58,867,000 USD | 48,712,000 USD | Difference to review |
| Operating cash flow | — | 224,362,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Total assets | — | 3,074,971,000 USD | Official value missing |
| Payments for property, plant and equipment | — | — | Official value missing |
| Payments for software development | — | — | Official value missing |
Value provenance and definitions
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}Fiscal year end 2021-12-31
10-K/A · Filed on 2026-04-28
Read the document ↗| Metric | SEC | Yahoo | Comparison result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | — | Official value missing |
| Operating income | — | — | Official value missing |
| Net income | 153,488,000 USD | — | Yahoo value missing |
| Operating cash flow | — | — | Official value missing |
| Total assets | — | — | Official value missing |
| Payments for property, plant and equipment | — | — | Official value missing |
| Payments for software development | — | — | Official value missing |
Value provenance and definitions
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}Fiscal year end 2020-12-31
10-K/A · Filed on 2025-04-30
Read the document ↗| Metric | SEC | Yahoo | Comparison result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | — | Official value missing |
| Operating income | — | — | Official value missing |
| Net income | 50,918,000 USD | — | Yahoo value missing |
| Operating cash flow | — | — | Official value missing |
| Total assets | — | — | Official value missing |
| Payments for property, plant and equipment | — | — | Official value missing |
| Payments for software development | — | — | Official value missing |
Value provenance and definitions
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}SEC payments for property and software development are distinct components. They are not automatically equated with Yahoo capital expenditure or free cash flow. No implicit summation or reconstruction.
Valuation versus its own history
Current P/E 38.2 versus a historical median of 38.3 over 8 fiscal years: score 50.3.
| Fiscal year end | Diluted EPS (split-adjusted) | Average price over the following 52 weeks | P/E |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-12-31 | 0.40 | — | — |
| 2016-12-31 | 0.42 | 8.29 | 19.8 |
| 2017-12-31 | 0.11 | 7.72 | 70.6 |
| 2019-12-31 | 0.12 | 3.45 | 28.7 |
| 2020-12-31 | 0.12 | 5.06 | 42.2 |
| 2021-12-31 | 0.32 | 3.93 | 12.3 |
| 2022-12-31 | 0.13 | 5.07 | 39.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 0.07 | 8.67 | 123.8 |
| 2024-12-31 | 0.25 | 9.39 | 37.5 |
For each past fiscal year with positive earnings: average weekly price in the 12 months after the year end divided by the diluted EPS in the 10-K (SEC), adjusted for splits after the filing. The current P/E uses the latest price and latest annual EPS, the same definition. Score 50 at the median, 100 at two thirds of it, 0 at 1.5 times (log scale). At least 3 fiscal years are required. A stock expensive versus its own history can stay so: not a forecast.
SEC XBRL · Yahoo · historical-pe-v1
Earnings revisions
How analyst expectations change. An indicator separate from company quality: it is not a probability of price appreciation.
Score · current year—Unavailable
EPS · 30-day change-1.1%
EPS analysts2
Acquired on: 2026-09-28T16:32:51.460088Z · yfinance
Score unavailable: at least 3 analysts, comparable estimates and sufficient window coverage are required.
Current quarter · —
EPS: 0.3300 USD · EPS analysts: 2
| Prior estimate | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 0.3350 | -0.0050 | -1.5% |
| 30d | 0.3350 | -0.0050 | -1.5% |
| 60d | 0.3350 | -0.0050 | -1.5% |
| 90d | 0.3400 | -0.0100 | -2.9% |
Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 1 · 30d ↑ 0 / ↓ 1
Revenue consensus: 821,913,760 USD
Score unavailable: at least 3 analysts, comparable estimates and sufficient window coverage are required.
Next quarter · —
EPS: 0.3400 USD · EPS analysts: 2
| Prior estimate | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 0.3400 | 0.0000 | 0.0% |
| 30d | 0.3400 | 0.0000 | 0.0% |
| 60d | 0.3400 | 0.0000 | 0.0% |
| 90d | 0.3450 | -0.0050 | -1.4% |
Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 0 · 30d ↑ 0 / ↓ 0
Revenue consensus: 836,280,800 USD
Score unavailable: at least 3 analysts, comparable estimates and sufficient window coverage are required.
Current year · —
EPS: 1.4050 USD · EPS analysts: 2
| Prior estimate | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 1.4100 | -0.0050 | -0.4% |
| 30d | 1.4200 | -0.0150 | -1.1% |
| 60d | 1.4200 | -0.0150 | -1.1% |
| 90d | 1.4250 | -0.0200 | -1.4% |
Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 1 / ↓ 1 · 30d ↑ 1 / ↓ 1
Revenue consensus: 3,459,257,560 USD
Score unavailable: at least 3 analysts, comparable estimates and sufficient window coverage are required.
Next year · —
EPS: 1.5750 USD · EPS analysts: 2
| Prior estimate | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 1.5850 | -0.0100 | -0.6% |
| 30d | 1.6150 | -0.0400 | -2.5% |
| 60d | 1.6150 | -0.0400 | -2.5% |
| 90d | 1.6000 | -0.0250 | -1.6% |
Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 1 · 30d ↑ 1 / ↓ 1
Revenue consensus: 3,681,972,920 USD
Score unavailable: at least 3 analysts, comparable estimates and sufficient window coverage are required.
Method, limitations and source data
Heuristic 0–100 score: EPS change magnitude (65%) and 30-day revision balance (35%). The 7/30/60/90-day windows weigh 10/40/20/30%; changes from −20% to +20% map to 0–100. The summary always uses the current year. Weights and contributions are available below.
Periods are relative to acquisition: this feed provides no verified fiscal end. Currency and EPS accounting basis are not independently verified. Counts represent revisions, not necessarily distinct analysts. Prior estimates were acquired with this snapshot and were not available to this system at their past dates. Guidance is unavailable from this source.
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"current": 0.34,
"delta": -0.004999999999999949,
"score": 46.37681159420294,
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}
},
"components": {
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"value": 50,
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},
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"value": 48.91304347826088,
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}
},
"coverage": 1,
"eps": {
"analysts": 2,
"consensus": 0.34,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 0.34,
"low": 0.34
},
"period": "+1q",
"period_end": null,
"revenue": {
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"consensus": 836280800.0,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 841161590.0,
"low": 831400000.0
},
"revisions": {
"currency": "USD",
"down_30d": 0,
"down_7d": 0,
"up_30d": 0,
"up_7d": 0
},
"score": null,
"trend": {
"30d": 0.34,
"60d": 0.34,
"7d": 0.34,
"90d": 0.345,
"currency": "USD",
"current": 0.34
},
"warnings": [
"insufficient_comparable_estimates"
]
},
{
"changes": {
"30d": {
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"current": 1.405,
"delta": -0.014999999999999902,
"score": 47.359154929577464,
"weight": 0.4
},
"60d": {
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"current": 1.405,
"delta": -0.014999999999999902,
"score": 47.359154929577464,
"weight": 0.2
},
"7d": {
"before": 1.41,
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"current": 1.405,
"delta": -0.004999999999999893,
"score": 49.11347517730498,
"weight": 0.1
},
"90d": {
"before": 1.425,
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"current": 1.405,
"delta": -0.020000000000000018,
"score": 46.491228070175424,
"weight": 0.3
}
},
"components": {
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"value": 50.0,
"weight": 0.35
},
"magnitude": {
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}
},
"coverage": 1,
"eps": {
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"high": 1.42,
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},
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"revenue": {
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},
"revisions": {
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"up_30d": 1,
"up_7d": 1
},
"score": null,
"trend": {
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"60d": 1.42,
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"90d": 1.425,
"currency": "USD",
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},
"warnings": [
"insufficient_comparable_estimates"
]
},
{
"changes": {
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},
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},
"90d": {
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},
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}
},
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"eps": {
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"currency": "USD",
"high": 1.58,
"low": 1.57
},
"period": "+1y",
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"revenue": {
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"consensus": 3681972920.0,
"currency": "USD",
"high": 3751800000.0,
"low": 3612145830.0
},
"revisions": {
"currency": "USD",
"down_30d": 1,
"down_7d": 1,
"up_30d": 1,
"up_7d": 0
},
"score": null,
"trend": {
"30d": 1.615,
"60d": 1.615,
"7d": 1.585,
"90d": 1.6,
"currency": "USD",
"current": 1.575
},
"warnings": [
"insufficient_comparable_estimates"
]
}
],
"policy": {
"change_bounds": [
-0.2,
0.2
],
"eps_absolute_tolerance": 1e-06,
"eps_relative_tolerance": 0.005,
"family_weights": {
"breadth": 0.35,
"magnitude": 0.65
},
"maximum_age_days": 7,
"minimum_analysts": 3,
"minimum_coverage": 0.6,
"minimum_positive_eps": 0.01,
"minimum_window_coverage": 0.5,
"minimum_windows": 2,
"primary_period": "0y",
"version": "earnings-revisions-v2",
"window_weights": {
"30d": 0.4,
"60d": 0.2,
"7d": 0.1,
"90d": 0.3
}
},
"primary_period": "0y",
"score": null,
"source": "yfinance",
"status": "partial",
"warnings": [
"relative_forecast_periods_no_fiscal_end",
"lookback_estimates_first_observed_now",
"eps_accounting_basis_unspecified",
"vendor_currency_not_independently_verified"
]
}Trading plan and history
Trading Setup · 15 sessions
Entry—
Technical target—
Invalidation—
Score history
At least two observations are needed. History starts with the new version's observations.
Thesis and scenarios
Thesis memory
How Krazerr's reading of this stock changed, day by day. Derived from immutable snapshots: the past is never rewritten.
Momentum deteriorated (-15)
Why now: —
Main concern: rich valuation
Market regime: Risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Model updated (not like-for-like)
Why now: —
Main concern: rich valuation
Market regime: Risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Model updated (not like-for-like) · Market regime: Strong risk-on → Risk-on
Why now: Momentum 83 · Timing 78
Main concern: rich valuation
Market regime: Risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.21
First available reading
Why now: Momentum 83 · Timing 76
Main concern: limited data
Market regime: Strong risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.5
thesis-memory-v1 · Changes reported from 10 points, only within the same model version.
Scenario Lab
Estimated scenario sensitivity based on model assumptions and historical relationships. Not a prediction or calibrated probability interval.
Events, news and filings
Events and calendar
Events that could change the thesis. Materiality is a declared rule on structured facts: it is neither a price forecast nor a positive or negative judgement.
Effect on risk
From model v1.6 the risk «Events» family uses these values (higher = more risk). An unknown date stays unavailable; it is not read as no upcoming earnings.
| Risk | /100 | Why this score |
|---|---|---|
| Earnings risk | 20 | scheduled earnings: 90 within 5 days, 20 beyond 21 · in 38 days |
| Material event risk | 25 | material SEC filing in the last 30 days, weight decreasing with age |
event-risk-v1 · event-materiality-v1
Next earnings2026-11-05in 38 days · date confirmed by the provider
Latest EPS surprise4.5%Quarter ended 2026-06-30
High-materiality events0last 30 days
Scheduled
Scheduled earnings
Yahoo Finance · scheduled · date confirmed by the provider
Materiality 60 · mediumWhy this materiality
- Materiality
- Upcoming earnings: may change expected earnings and the thesis
- Confidence
- 65/100 · confirmed date
- First acquired
- 2026-09-23T10:36:50.425070Z
{
"id": "yf:earnings:BGC:2026-11-05T12:30:00.000000Z",
"observation_id": "eb43ad813812e577a5e15ea23cff78a4d93a27f32594c1e5edd9d89ab2de4446",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T10:36:50.425070Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Relevant event timeline
Quarterly results released
Yahoo Finance · released · EPS above estimate
Materiality 54 · mediumEPS 0.3500 · Estimate 0.3350 · Surprise 4.5% · Quarter ended 2026-06-30
Why this materiality
- Materiality
- Results released · size of the surprise versus the estimate
- Confidence
- 90/100 · date listed by the provider after the event · confirmed by an SEC results filing
- First acquired
- 2026-09-23T10:36:50.425070Z
{
"id": "yf:earnings:BGC:2026-07-30T12:30:00.000000Z",
"observation_id": "eb43ad813812e577a5e15ea23cff78a4d93a27f32594c1e5edd9d89ab2de4446",
"corroborated_by": "sec:0001094831:0001628280-26-050814",
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T10:36:50.425070Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": "2026-06-30"
}Operating results and financial condition · 8-K
SEC · filed
Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗Why this materiality
- Materiality
- Operating results and financial condition
- Confidence
- 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
{
"id": "sec:0001094831:0001628280-26-050814",
"observation_id": "c01ea82ce0ba656e8605a3333c89af712b2bbadcfd1110ea02f15d4b390f3413",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-28T13:17:00.296470Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Material agreements · New financial obligations · 8-K
SEC · filed
Materiality 50 · mediumRead the document ↗Why this materiality
- Materiality
- Material agreements · New financial obligations
- Confidence
- 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
{
"id": "sec:0001094831:0001213900-26-057808",
"observation_id": "c01ea82ce0ba656e8605a3333c89af712b2bbadcfd1110ea02f15d4b390f3413",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-28T13:17:00.296470Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Operating results and financial condition · 8-K
SEC · filed
Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗Why this materiality
- Materiality
- Operating results and financial condition
- Confidence
- 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
{
"id": "sec:0001094831:0001628280-26-031724",
"observation_id": "c01ea82ce0ba656e8605a3333c89af712b2bbadcfd1110ea02f15d4b390f3413",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-28T13:17:00.296470Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Annual report · 10-K/A
SEC · filed
Materiality 40 · mediumRead the document ↗Why this materiality
- Materiality
- Annual report
- Confidence
- 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
{
"id": "sec:0001094831:0001213900-26-048621",
"observation_id": "c01ea82ce0ba656e8605a3333c89af712b2bbadcfd1110ea02f15d4b390f3413",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-28T13:17:00.296470Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Quarterly results released
Yahoo Finance · released · EPS in line with estimate
Materiality 47 · mediumEPS 0.4100 · Estimate 0.4050 · Surprise 1.2% · Quarter ended 2026-03-31
Why this materiality
- Materiality
- Results released · size of the surprise versus the estimate
- Confidence
- 52/100 · release date unavailable
- First acquired
- 2026-09-23T10:36:50.425070Z
{
"id": "yf:earnings-result:BGC:2026-03-31",
"observation_id": "eb43ad813812e577a5e15ea23cff78a4d93a27f32594c1e5edd9d89ab2de4446",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T10:36:50.425070Z",
"time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
"period_end": "2026-03-31"
}Annual report · 10-K
SEC · filed
Materiality 40 · mediumRead the document ↗Why this materiality
- Materiality
- Annual report
- Confidence
- 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
{
"id": "sec:0001094831:0001628280-26-013162",
"observation_id": "c01ea82ce0ba656e8605a3333c89af712b2bbadcfd1110ea02f15d4b390f3413",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-28T13:17:00.296470Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Operating results and financial condition · 8-K
SEC · filed
Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗Why this materiality
- Materiality
- Operating results and financial condition
- Confidence
- 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
{
"id": "sec:0001094831:0001628280-26-007499",
"observation_id": "c01ea82ce0ba656e8605a3333c89af712b2bbadcfd1110ea02f15d4b390f3413",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-28T13:17:00.296470Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Quarterly results released
Yahoo Finance · released · EPS above estimate
Materiality 59 · mediumEPS 0.3100 · Estimate 0.2900 · Surprise 6.9% · Quarter ended 2025-12-31
Why this materiality
- Materiality
- Results released · size of the surprise versus the estimate
- Confidence
- 52/100 · release date unavailable
- First acquired
- 2026-09-23T10:36:50.425070Z
{
"id": "yf:earnings-result:BGC:2025-12-31",
"observation_id": "eb43ad813812e577a5e15ea23cff78a4d93a27f32594c1e5edd9d89ab2de4446",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T10:36:50.425070Z",
"time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
"period_end": "2025-12-31"
}Operating results and financial condition · 8-K
SEC · filed
Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗Why this materiality
- Materiality
- Operating results and financial condition
- Confidence
- 95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
{
"id": "sec:0001094831:0001628280-25-049883",
"observation_id": "c01ea82ce0ba656e8605a3333c89af712b2bbadcfd1110ea02f15d4b390f3413",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-28T13:17:00.296470Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}56 low-materiality events (dividends, splits, unclassified documents) are not listed here; they remain available through the API and in the document catalog. Company filings and events ↓
Method, limitations and rules
Materiality 0–100 from versioned rules: declared 8-K items (for example bankruptcy 95, non-reliance on statements 90, officer changes 55), form type, scheduled earnings (60, +15 within 14 days), released results (45 plus up to 40 in proportion to the EPS surprise, saturating at 20%). High from 70, medium from 40. Sentiment exists only for the EPS surprise (±2%). Confidence reflects source and date precision.
Heuristic rules not calibrated on returns; document text is not read. The Yahoo calendar is not a primary source and results history lacks release dates. Macro events (Fed, CPI, PCE, jobs), guidance, M&A and news are not yet connected. Events do not change the scores.
Last checked UTC: yfinance 2026-09-28T16:32:51.626052Z · sec-edgar 2026-09-28T18:27:54.873426Z · event-materiality-v1
{
"version": "event-materiality-v1",
"bands": {
"high": 70,
"medium": 40
},
"source_quality": {
"sec-edgar": 95,
"yfinance": 65
},
"sec_topics": {
"bankruptcy": 95,
"restatement": 90,
"debt_trigger": 75,
"auditor": 70,
"listing": 70,
"cybersecurity": 65,
"impairment": 65,
"asset_transaction": 65,
"restructuring": 60,
"management": 55,
"agreement": 50,
"equity": 45,
"debt": 45,
"results": 45,
"annual_report": 40,
"quarterly_report": 35
},
"sec_unclassified": 25,
"unclassified_confidence_multiplier": 0.6,
"earnings_scheduled": 60,
"earnings_imminent_bonus": 15,
"earnings_window_days": 14,
"earnings_reported": 45,
"surprise_materiality_bonus": 40,
"surprise_saturation": 0.2,
"surprise_sentiment_threshold": 0.02,
"minimum_estimate_abs": 0.01,
"vendor_surprise_tolerance": 0.005,
"dividend": 15,
"split": 25,
"confidence_multipliers": {
"confirmed": 1.0,
"estimated": 0.6,
"status_unknown": 0.8,
"quarter_end_only": 0.8,
"date_passed_unconfirmed": 0.5
},
"corroborated_confidence": 90,
"corroboration_days": 1,
"result_link_max_days": 120,
"maximum_calendar_age_hours": 48,
"recent_days": 30
}News that could change the thesis
No recent news directly about the company.
10 feed headlines not shown (commentary or comparisons 2, not about the company 3, older than 30 days 5)
Headlines only from Yahoo Finance (an aggregator, not a primary source): article text is neither read nor stored. Only news naming the company is shown, classified with declared rules; materiality is not a positive or negative judgement and news does not enter the scores. · news-events-v1
Company filings and events
Official SEC documents. Categories describe the declared topics, not price impact: open the source to verify what changed. These documents do not automatically change scores.
Company disclosure
SEC · 8-K
Read the document ↗Dates and provenance
- SEC accession
- 0001213900-24-072401
- Reported reference date
- 2024-08-26
- Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
- 2024-08-26T12:20:18.000000Z
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
- Declared form sections
- 8.01, 9.01
The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.
Quarterly report
SEC · 10-Q
Read the document ↗Dates and provenance
- SEC accession
- 0001628280-24-035883
- Reported reference date
- 2024-06-30
- Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
- 2024-08-08T12:06:13.000000Z
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
- Declared form sections
- —
The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.
Operating results and financial condition
SEC · 8-K
Read the document ↗Dates and provenance
- SEC accession
- 0001628280-24-033356
- Reported reference date
- 2024-07-30
- Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
- 2024-07-30T12:05:40.000000Z
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
- Declared form sections
- 2.02, 9.01
The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.
Company disclosure
SEC · 8-K
Read the document ↗Dates and provenance
- SEC accession
- 0001628280-24-030404
- Reported reference date
- 2024-06-28
- Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
- 2024-06-28T12:05:35.000000Z
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
- Declared form sections
- 7.01, 8.01, 9.01
The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.
Material agreements · New financial obligations
SEC · 8-K
Read the document ↗Dates and provenance
- SEC accession
- 0001193125-24-158371
- Reported reference date
- 2024-06-07
- Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
- 2024-06-10T20:30:34.000000Z
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
- Declared form sections
- 1.01, 2.03, 8.01, 9.01
The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.
Company disclosure
SEC · 8-K
Read the document ↗Dates and provenance
- SEC accession
- 0001193125-24-153617
- Reported reference date
- 2024-06-03
- Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
- 2024-06-04T10:58:29.000000Z
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
- Declared form sections
- 8.01
The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.
Quarterly report
SEC · 10-Q
Read the document ↗Dates and provenance
- SEC accession
- 0001628280-24-022251
- Reported reference date
- 2024-03-31
- Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
- 2024-05-09T20:20:04.000000Z
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
- Declared form sections
- —
The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.
Material agreements · New financial obligations
SEC · 8-K
Read the document ↗Dates and provenance
- SEC accession
- 0001193125-24-125059
- Reported reference date
- 2024-04-26
- Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
- 2024-04-30T20:06:03.000000Z
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
- Declared form sections
- 1.01, 2.03, 8.01, 9.01
The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.
Operating results and financial condition
SEC · 8-K
Read the document ↗Dates and provenance
- SEC accession
- 0001628280-24-019192
- Reported reference date
- 2024-04-30
- Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
- 2024-04-30T12:13:03.000000Z
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
- Declared form sections
- 2.02, 9.01
The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.
Annual report
SEC · 10-K/A · Amendment to an earlier document
Read the document ↗Dates and provenance
- SEC accession
- 0001193125-24-118052
- Reported reference date
- 2023-12-31
- Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
- 2024-04-26T20:11:20.000000Z
- First acquired
- 2026-09-21T12:40:20.303993Z
- Declared form sections
- —
The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.
Last checked UTC: 2026-09-28T18:27:54.873426Z · Up to 100 documents from the recent SEC catalog; not a complete archive
In your portfolio
Source / Model version
Calculated at: 2026-09-28T16:33:29.052656Z
Plus 199 peer company observations, summarised here; the full list stays in the analysis feature snapshot.
[
{
"available_at": "2026-09-26T18:44:38.353388Z",
"confidence_eligible": true,
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]Model scores, not personal recommendations. Missing data is not zero.
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