Investment Intelligence

Market data expired: opportunities suspended pending an update.

Meta Platforms, Inc.

META
751.66

Latest close: 2026-09-25 · USD

Trading Opportunity—Unavailable
Investment Opportunity—Unavailable
Company Quality64.2moderate
Valuation39.8low
Momentum75.3high
Timing—Unavailable
Risk29.5low
Market Compatibility58.7moderate
Confidence53.7/100

What could change the thesis

  • Next earnings on 10/28/2026 (date estimated by the provider), in 29 days. Details
  • Analyst estimates are falling (revisions 31). Details
  • Market regime: Neutral; stock compatibility 59. Details

Dated facts already in the analysis, not forecasts. Each item links to the section that explains it. · thesis-watch-v1

Why these scores

Confidence measures data/model reliability, not probability of profit. 0 = relatively low risk · 100 = very high risk

Compared with companies observed by Krazerr, not the entire sector. (11)

Peer companies (11)
Company Quality · 64.2

Coverage: 100.0% · company-quality-v1.5

Why this scoreScoreΔ
Business efficiency61.26.1
Cash flow32.74.9
Earnings quality38.93.9
Financial strength88.817.8
Growth44.89.0
Profitability90.322.6
Confidence · 53.7

Coverage: 80.0% · confidence-v1.2

Why this scoreScoreΔ
Completeness90.422.6
Cross source agreement50.07.5
Event certainty60.03.0
Financial discrepancy100.00.0
Freshness44.06.6
Model agreement——
Source reliability70.214.0
Stability——
Investment Opportunity · —

Coverage: 85.0% · investment-opportunity-v1

Why this scoreScoreΔ
Company quality64.226.4
Market compatibility58.710.4
Momentum75.38.9
Risk adjustment—-1.7
Valuation39.811.7
Market Compatibility · 58.7

Coverage: 100.0% · market-compatibility-v2.2

Why this scoreScoreΔ
Breadth22.32.2
Liquidity59.35.9
Rates49.97.5
Sector strength38.09.5
Trend81.720.4
Volatility87.813.2

Exposures measured over 252 sessions: S&P 500 beta 1.43 (t 7.4); return per +1 point in the 10Y -0.007 (t -0.2).

Compatibility = 50 + (regime factor − 50) × exposure. Exposures scaled (beta 1.5 and 0.20 per point = full exposure) and shrunk when |t| < 2. Historical sensitivity, not a forecast.

Sector Communication Services (XLC): above the 50-session average ✓, the 200-session average ✗; 50-session strength versus SPY -2.4%.

Sector strength = mean of the sector ETF trend (0, 50 or 100 by averages exceeded) and its change relative to SPY from −5% to +5% mapped to 0–100. It describes the sector, not the company.

Momentum · 75.3

Coverage: 100.0% · momentum-v1.1

Why this scoreScoreΔ
Highs91.010.1
Multi timeframe68.015.1
Relative strength81.722.7
Trend100.022.2
Volume31.25.2
Risk · 29.5

Coverage: 100.0% · risk-v1.3

Why this scoreScoreΔ
Drawdown56.98.5
Event20.03.0
Financial1.70.3
Liquidity0.00.0
Rate sensitivity0.40.0
Valuation60.29.0
Volatility43.08.6
Timing · —

Coverage: 42.5% · timing-v1.1

Why this scoreScoreΔ
Entry position16.5—
Risk reward——
Short term59.2—
Structure——
Volume confirmation41.5—

Not computed: data available for 42.5% of the weights, below the 60.0% threshold. A missing value is not zero.

Timing unavailable: this stock is not among the screener setups, so the plan's technical structure, entry, target and invalidation are missing. Extension, RSI and volume alone are not enough (coverage below 60%). A plan rebuilt from prices would always enter at the latest close: we do not invent one.

Trading Opportunity · —

Coverage: 70.0% · trading-opportunity-v1

Why this scoreScoreΔ

Trading Opportunity requires Momentum and Timing: without a screener setup Timing is missing, so it is not computed. Investment Opportunity remains available.

Valuation · 39.8

Coverage: 100.0% · valuation-v1.4

Why this scoreScoreΔ
Absolute11.80.7
Cash flow18.24.4
Growth adjusted80.619.6
Historical48.97.3
Peers25.67.8

Financial statements and earnings quality

Annual metrics prioritize SEC statements when periods, currency and definitions are consistent. Where official coverage is missing, the fallback source is shown. Ambiguous data is excluded; current metrics remain separate.

MetricValueSourceFiscal periods used
Free cash flow growth-14.73%Yahoo2025-12-31, 2024-12-31
Interest coverage (×)74.76Yahoo2025-12-31
Asset turnover (×)0.63SEC2025-12-31, 2024-12-31
Earnings stability0.84SEC2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31
Operating margin stability0.92SEC2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31

Stability ranges from 0 to 1: higher means lower variability over three observed positive fiscal years. It is not a probability of profit. Missing metrics remain unavailable.

Annual fallback provider values

yfinance · USD
First acquired: 2026-09-23T15:02:56.083475Z

Fiscal year endRevenueNet incomeOperating cash flowCapital expenditure (signed flow)Total assets
2025-12-31200,966,000,00060,458,000,000115,800,000,000-69,691,000,000366,021,000,000
2024-12-31164,501,000,00062,360,000,00091,328,000,000-37,256,000,000276,054,000,000
2023-12-31134,902,000,00039,098,000,00071,113,000,000-27,045,000,000229,623,000,000
2022-12-31116,609,000,00023,200,000,00050,475,000,000-31,186,000,000185,727,000,000
Sources and selection reasons
  • Asset turnover (×): Calculated from SEC statements with consistent periods, currency and definitions.
  • Earnings stability: Calculated from SEC statements with consistent periods, currency and definitions.
  • Free cash flow growth: SEC definition not yet mapped; the fallback provider is used where available.
  • Interest coverage (×): SEC definition not yet mapped; the fallback provider is used where available.
  • Operating margin stability: Calculated from SEC statements with consistent periods, currency and definitions.
Show advanced data
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Consistency across sources

Fiscal year end: 2025-12-31 · 5/5 compared values match

This is a numerical check of five items in the latest fiscal year, not independent accounting verification: Yahoo may derive from the same SEC filings. The positive Confidence contribution is limited; discrepancies apply a separate, visible reduction.

Confidence reduction for discrepancies: 0.0% · Δ 0.00

Show advanced data
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Check against official statements

Numerical SEC–Yahoo comparison by fiscal year and currency. Matching numbers do not certify identical accounting definitions. Metric sources and the effect on reliability are shown above.

Matching values across compared fiscal years: 18 · Differences to review: 0 · Non-comparable or missing values: 10

First acquired: 2026-09-23T15:02:57.866371Z

Fiscal year end 2025-12-31

10-K · Filed on 2026-01-29

Read the document ↗
MetricSECYahooComparison result
Revenue200,966,000,000 USD200,966,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Operating income83,276,000,000 USD83,276,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Net income60,458,000,000 USD60,458,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Operating cash flow115,800,000,000 USD115,800,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Total assets366,021,000,000 USD366,021,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Payments for property, plant and equipment69,691,000,000 USD— Distinct component: not compared
Payments for software development— — Official value missing
Value provenance and definitions
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              "start": "2025-01-01",
              "val": 69691000000
            },
            "start": "2025-01-01",
            "taxonomy": "us-gaap",
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          }
        ],
        "period_start": "2025-01-01",
        "status": "reported",
        "value": 69691000000.0,
        "field": "ppe_payments",
        "comparison": "definition_differs",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      },
      {
        "currency": null,
        "evidence": [],
        "period_start": null,
        "status": "missing",
        "value": null,
        "field": "software_payments",
        "comparison": "missing",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      }
    ],
    "period_end": "2025-12-31",
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326801/000162828026003942/0001628280-26-003942-index.html"
  }
}
Fiscal year end 2024-12-31

10-K · Filed on 2026-01-29

Read the document ↗
MetricSECYahooComparison result
Revenue164,501,000,000 USD164,501,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Operating income69,380,000,000 USD69,380,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Net income62,360,000,000 USD62,360,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Operating cash flow91,328,000,000 USD91,328,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Total assets276,054,000,000 USD276,054,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Payments for property, plant and equipment37,256,000,000 USD— Distinct component: not compared
Payments for software development— — Official value missing
Value provenance and definitions
{
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  "policy": {
    "version": "reported-annual-v1",
    "minimum_days": 330,
    "maximum_days": 400,
    "maximum_periods": 6,
    "relative_tolerance": 0.005,
    "absolute_tolerance": 1
  },
  "reported_observation_id": "1aca554c84d62e8ea29df5dfde74dc9eed3af27b91d55655f37c9f85b2b226df",
  "yahoo_observation_id": "bd21e4d90fda4944a7bfb4bbaa1020dfb85f74be4244a2227c29636b90124bf5",
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    "metrics": [
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        "evidence": [
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            "concept": "RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax",
            "end": "2024-12-31",
            "label": "Revenue from Contract with Customer, Excluding Assessed Tax",
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              "filed": "2026-01-29",
              "form": "10-K",
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              "frame": "CY2024",
              "fy": 2025,
              "start": "2024-01-01",
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      },
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        "evidence": [
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            "concept": "OperatingIncomeLoss",
            "end": "2024-12-31",
            "label": "Operating Income (Loss)",
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              "end": "2024-12-31",
              "filed": "2026-01-29",
              "form": "10-K",
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            },
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      },
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        "evidence": [
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            "end": "2024-12-31",
            "label": "Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Parent",
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      },
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        "evidence": [
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            "end": "2024-12-31",
            "label": "Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Operating Activities",
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        ],
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        "delta": 0.0,
        "tolerance": 456640000.0
      },
      {
        "currency": "USD",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "concept": "Assets",
            "end": "2024-12-31",
            "label": "Assets",
            "raw_fact": {
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              "end": "2024-12-31",
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            },
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      },
      {
        "currency": "USD",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "concept": "PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment",
            "end": "2024-12-31",
            "label": "Payments to Acquire Property, Plant, and Equipment",
            "raw_fact": {
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              "end": "2024-12-31",
              "filed": "2026-01-29",
              "form": "10-K",
              "fp": "FY",
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            },
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            "taxonomy": "us-gaap",
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          }
        ],
        "period_start": "2024-01-01",
        "status": "reported",
        "value": 37256000000.0,
        "field": "ppe_payments",
        "comparison": "definition_differs",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      },
      {
        "currency": null,
        "evidence": [],
        "period_start": null,
        "status": "missing",
        "value": null,
        "field": "software_payments",
        "comparison": "missing",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      }
    ],
    "period_end": "2024-12-31",
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326801/000162828026003942/0001628280-26-003942-index.html"
  }
}
Fiscal year end 2023-12-31

10-K · Filed on 2026-01-29

Read the document ↗
MetricSECYahooComparison result
Revenue134,902,000,000 USD134,902,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Operating income46,751,000,000 USD46,751,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Net income39,098,000,000 USD39,098,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Operating cash flow71,113,000,000 USD71,113,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Total assets— 229,623,000,000 USDOfficial value missing
Payments for property, plant and equipment27,045,000,000 USD— Distinct component: not compared
Payments for software development— — Official value missing
Value provenance and definitions
{
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  "policy": {
    "version": "reported-annual-v1",
    "minimum_days": 330,
    "maximum_days": 400,
    "maximum_periods": 6,
    "relative_tolerance": 0.005,
    "absolute_tolerance": 1
  },
  "reported_observation_id": "1aca554c84d62e8ea29df5dfde74dc9eed3af27b91d55655f37c9f85b2b226df",
  "yahoo_observation_id": "bd21e4d90fda4944a7bfb4bbaa1020dfb85f74be4244a2227c29636b90124bf5",
  "period": {
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    "filing_date": "2026-01-29",
    "form": "10-K",
    "later_unmapped_accessions": [],
    "metrics": [
      {
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        "evidence": [
          {
            "concept": "RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax",
            "end": "2023-12-31",
            "label": "Revenue from Contract with Customer, Excluding Assessed Tax",
            "raw_fact": {
              "accn": "0001628280-26-003942",
              "end": "2023-12-31",
              "filed": "2026-01-29",
              "form": "10-K",
              "fp": "FY",
              "frame": "CY2023",
              "fy": 2025,
              "start": "2023-01-01",
              "val": 134902000000
            },
            "start": "2023-01-01",
            "taxonomy": "us-gaap",
            "unit": "USD",
            "value": 134902000000.0
          }
        ],
        "period_start": "2023-01-01",
        "status": "reported",
        "value": 134902000000.0,
        "field": "revenue",
        "comparison": "numerical_match",
        "yahoo_value": 134902000000.0,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": 0.0,
        "tolerance": 674510000.0
      },
      {
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        "evidence": [
          {
            "concept": "OperatingIncomeLoss",
            "end": "2023-12-31",
            "label": "Operating Income (Loss)",
            "raw_fact": {
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              "end": "2023-12-31",
              "filed": "2026-01-29",
              "form": "10-K",
              "fp": "FY",
              "frame": "CY2023",
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          }
        ],
        "period_start": "2023-01-01",
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        "value": 46751000000.0,
        "field": "operating_income",
        "comparison": "numerical_match",
        "yahoo_value": 46751000000.0,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": 0.0,
        "tolerance": 233755000.0
      },
      {
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        "evidence": [
          {
            "concept": "NetIncomeLoss",
            "end": "2023-12-31",
            "label": "Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Parent",
            "raw_fact": {
              "accn": "0001628280-26-003942",
              "end": "2023-12-31",
              "filed": "2026-01-29",
              "form": "10-K",
              "fp": "FY",
              "fy": 2025,
              "start": "2023-01-01",
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            },
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          }
        ],
        "period_start": "2023-01-01",
        "status": "reported",
        "value": 39098000000.0,
        "field": "net_income",
        "comparison": "numerical_match",
        "yahoo_value": 39098000000.0,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": 0.0,
        "tolerance": 195490000.0
      },
      {
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        "evidence": [
          {
            "concept": "NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities",
            "end": "2023-12-31",
            "label": "Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Operating Activities",
            "raw_fact": {
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              "end": "2023-12-31",
              "filed": "2026-01-29",
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            },
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        ],
        "period_start": "2023-01-01",
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        "yahoo_value": 71113000000.0,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
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      },
      {
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        "evidence": [],
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        "field": "total_assets",
        "comparison": "missing",
        "yahoo_value": 229623000000.0,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      },
      {
        "currency": "USD",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "concept": "PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment",
            "end": "2023-12-31",
            "label": "Payments to Acquire Property, Plant, and Equipment",
            "raw_fact": {
              "accn": "0001628280-26-003942",
              "end": "2023-12-31",
              "filed": "2026-01-29",
              "form": "10-K",
              "fp": "FY",
              "frame": "CY2023",
              "fy": 2025,
              "start": "2023-01-01",
              "val": 27045000000
            },
            "start": "2023-01-01",
            "taxonomy": "us-gaap",
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            "value": 27045000000.0
          }
        ],
        "period_start": "2023-01-01",
        "status": "reported",
        "value": 27045000000.0,
        "field": "ppe_payments",
        "comparison": "definition_differs",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      },
      {
        "currency": null,
        "evidence": [],
        "period_start": null,
        "status": "missing",
        "value": null,
        "field": "software_payments",
        "comparison": "missing",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      }
    ],
    "period_end": "2023-12-31",
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326801/000162828026003942/0001628280-26-003942-index.html"
  }
}
Fiscal year end 2022-12-31

10-K · Filed on 2025-01-30

Read the document ↗
MetricSECYahooComparison result
Revenue116,609,000,000 USD116,609,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Operating income28,944,000,000 USD28,944,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Net income23,200,000,000 USD23,200,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Operating cash flow50,475,000,000 USD50,475,000,000 USDMatches within tolerance
Total assets— 185,727,000,000 USDOfficial value missing
Payments for property, plant and equipment31,186,000,000 USD— Distinct component: not compared
Payments for software development— — Official value missing
Value provenance and definitions
{
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    "minimum_days": 330,
    "maximum_days": 400,
    "maximum_periods": 6,
    "relative_tolerance": 0.005,
    "absolute_tolerance": 1
  },
  "reported_observation_id": "1aca554c84d62e8ea29df5dfde74dc9eed3af27b91d55655f37c9f85b2b226df",
  "yahoo_observation_id": "bd21e4d90fda4944a7bfb4bbaa1020dfb85f74be4244a2227c29636b90124bf5",
  "period": {
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    "cik": "0001326801",
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    "form": "10-K",
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    "metrics": [
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            "end": "2022-12-31",
            "label": "Revenue from Contract with Customer, Excluding Assessed Tax",
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              "end": "2022-12-31",
              "filed": "2025-01-30",
              "form": "10-K",
              "fp": "FY",
              "frame": "CY2022",
              "fy": 2024,
              "start": "2022-01-01",
              "val": 116609000000
            },
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            "taxonomy": "us-gaap",
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        ],
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            "end": "2022-12-31",
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            },
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      },
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        "evidence": [
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            "end": "2022-12-31",
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              "end": "2022-12-31",
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            },
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        ],
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        "comparison": "numerical_match",
        "yahoo_value": 23200000000.0,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": 0.0,
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      },
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        "evidence": [
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        "period_start": "2022-01-01",
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      },
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        "evidence": [
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        ],
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        "status": "missing",
        "value": null,
        "field": "software_payments",
        "comparison": "missing",
        "yahoo_value": null,
        "yahoo_currency": "USD",
        "delta": null,
        "tolerance": null
      }
    ],
    "period_end": "2022-12-31",
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326801/000132680125000017/0001326801-25-000017-index.html"
  }
}

SEC payments for property and software development are distinct components. They are not automatically equated with Yahoo capital expenditure or free cash flow. No implicit summation or reconstruction.

Valuation versus its own history

Current P/E 32.0 versus a historical median of 31.7 over 9 fiscal years: score 48.9.

Fiscal year endDiluted EPS (split-adjusted)Average price over the following 52 weeksP/E
2016-12-313.49156.9245.0
2017-12-315.39170.8931.7
2018-12-317.57181.7524.0
2019-12-316.43233.8336.4
2020-12-3110.09320.6931.8
2021-12-3113.77178.2312.9
2022-12-318.59262.4230.5
2023-12-3114.87510.0634.3
2024-12-3123.86667.1428.0

For each past fiscal year with positive earnings: average weekly price in the 12 months after the year end divided by the diluted EPS in the 10-K (SEC), adjusted for splits after the filing. The current P/E uses the latest price and latest annual EPS, the same definition. Score 50 at the median, 100 at two thirds of it, 0 at 1.5 times (log scale). At least 3 fiscal years are required. A stock expensive versus its own history can stay so: not a forecast.

SEC XBRL · Yahoo · historical-pe-v1

Earnings revisions

How analyst expectations change. An indicator separate from company quality: it is not a probability of price appreciation.

Score · current year30.7/100
EPS · 30-day change-0.5%
EPS analysts54

Acquired on: 2026-09-28T14:53:54.243731Z · yfinance

Current quarter · 29.7

EPS: 6.4036 USD · EPS analysts: 43

Prior estimateEPSΔ EPSΔ %
7d6.5304-0.1268-1.9%
30d6.5303-0.1267-1.9%
60d7.0461-0.6424-9.1%
90d7.0426-0.6390-9.1%

Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 4 · 30d ↑ 7 / ↓ 33

Revenue consensus: 63,318,607,290 USD

Next quarter · 40.3

EPS: 8.2675 USD · EPS analysts: 42

Prior estimateEPSΔ EPSΔ %
7d8.22330.04420.5%
30d8.22330.04420.5%
60d8.4885-0.2210-2.6%
90d8.4863-0.2188-2.6%

Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 2 · 30d ↑ 10 / ↓ 27

Revenue consensus: 73,701,049,910 USD

Current year · 30.7

EPS: 31.2129 USD · EPS analysts: 54

Prior estimateEPSΔ EPSΔ %
7d31.3392-0.1263-0.4%
30d31.3731-0.1602-0.5%
60d33.0468-1.8339-5.5%
90d32.8726-1.6597-5.0%

Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 7 · 30d ↑ 4 / ↓ 45

Revenue consensus: 254,169,285,210 USD

Next year · 35.8

EPS: 34.0317 USD · EPS analysts: 52

Prior estimateEPSΔ EPSΔ %
7d33.87110.16060.5%
30d33.94620.08550.3%
60d35.0967-1.0650-3.0%
90d34.9236-0.8919-2.6%

Upward / downward revisions: 7d ↑ 1 / ↓ 4 · 30d ↑ 7 / ↓ 39

Revenue consensus: 306,438,699,250 USD

Method, limitations and source data

Heuristic 0–100 score: EPS change magnitude (65%) and 30-day revision balance (35%). The 7/30/60/90-day windows weigh 10/40/20/30%; changes from −20% to +20% map to 0–100. The summary always uses the current year. Weights and contributions are available below.

Periods are relative to acquisition: this feed provides no verified fiscal end. Currency and EPS accounting basis are not independently verified. Counts represent revisions, not necessarily distinct analysts. Prior estimates were acquired with this snapshot and were not available to this system at their past dates. Guidance is unavailable from this source.

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  "policy": {
    "change_bounds": [
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      0.2
    ],
    "eps_absolute_tolerance": 1e-06,
    "eps_relative_tolerance": 0.005,
    "family_weights": {
      "breadth": 0.35,
      "magnitude": 0.65
    },
    "maximum_age_days": 7,
    "minimum_analysts": 3,
    "minimum_coverage": 0.6,
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  "status": "partial",
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  ]
}

Trading plan and history

Trading Setup · 15 sessions

Entry—
Technical target—
Invalidation—
Show advanced data

FinalScore: — · technical-setup-v1

Open existing technical view

Score history

At least two observations are needed. History starts with the new version's observations.

Thesis and scenarios

Thesis memory

How Krazerr's reading of this stock changed, day by day. Derived from immutable snapshots: the past is never rewritten.

Current reading

Why now: Momentum 75

Main concern: negative revisions

Market regime: Risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.22

Market Compatibility deteriorated (-10)

Why now: Momentum 75

Main concern: negative revisions

Market regime: Risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.22

Model updated (not like-for-like)

Why now: Momentum 80 · Market Compatibility 69

Main concern: negative revisions

Market regime: Risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.22

First available reading

Why now: Momentum 77

Main concern: negative revisions

Market regime: Risk-on · investment-intelligence-v1.21

thesis-memory-v1 · Changes reported from 10 points, only within the same model version.

Scenario Lab

Estimated scenario sensitivity based on model assumptions and historical relationships. Not a prediction or calibrated probability interval.

Events, news and filings

Events and calendar

Events that could change the thesis. Materiality is a declared rule on structured facts: it is neither a price forecast nor a positive or negative judgement.

Effect on risk

From model v1.6 the risk «Events» family uses these values (higher = more risk). An unknown date stays unavailable; it is not read as no upcoming earnings.

Risk/100Why this score
Earnings risk20scheduled earnings: 90 within 5 days, 20 beyond 21 · in 30 days
Material event risk20no material SEC filing in the last 30 days: baseline level

event-risk-v1 · event-materiality-v1

An event source has not been refreshed recently: scheduled dates and the catalog may have changed.

Next earnings2026-10-28in 30 days · date estimated by the provider
Latest EPS surprise-14.4%Quarter ended 2026-06-30
High-materiality events0last 30 days

Scheduled

Scheduled earnings

Yahoo Finance · scheduled · date estimated by the provider

Materiality 60 · medium
Why this materiality
Materiality
Upcoming earnings: may change expected earnings and the thesis
Confidence
39/100 · estimated date
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:56.695535Z
{
  "id": "yf:earnings:META:2026-10-28T20:00:00.000000Z",
  "observation_id": "4d30d8fd1b11c1f0e4e78bb6a66c9875853e0ecf0a76e63a862a5a294a7b9ea3",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:56.695535Z",
  "time_precision": "date",
  "period_end": null
}

Relevant event timeline

Operating results and financial condition · 8-K

SEC · filed

Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗
Why this materiality
Materiality
Operating results and financial condition
Confidence
95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
{
  "id": "sec:0001326801:0001628280-26-050596",
  "observation_id": "6786bafc130cd0f2f4360908700f7cdfe2d5e7414deeb70f4c1eba31f71dc14e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Quarterly results released

Yahoo Finance · released · EPS below estimate

Materiality 74 · high

EPS 6.1800 · Estimate 7.2214 · Surprise -14.4% · Quarter ended 2026-06-30

Why this materiality
Materiality
Results released · size of the surprise versus the estimate
Confidence
90/100 · date listed by the provider after the event · confirmed by an SEC results filing
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:56.695535Z
{
  "id": "yf:earnings:META:2026-07-29T20:00:00.000000Z",
  "observation_id": "4d30d8fd1b11c1f0e4e78bb6a66c9875853e0ecf0a76e63a862a5a294a7b9ea3",
  "corroborated_by": "sec:0001326801:0001628280-26-050596",
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:56.695535Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": "2026-06-30"
}

Operating results and financial condition · 8-K

SEC · filed

Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗
Why this materiality
Materiality
Operating results and financial condition
Confidence
95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
{
  "id": "sec:0001326801:0001628280-26-028364",
  "observation_id": "6786bafc130cd0f2f4360908700f7cdfe2d5e7414deeb70f4c1eba31f71dc14e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Directors, officers or compensation · 8-K

SEC · filed

Materiality 55 · mediumRead the document ↗
Why this materiality
Materiality
Directors, officers or compensation
Confidence
95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
{
  "id": "sec:0001326801:0001628280-26-025108",
  "observation_id": "6786bafc130cd0f2f4360908700f7cdfe2d5e7414deeb70f4c1eba31f71dc14e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Quarterly results released

Yahoo Finance · released · EPS above estimate

Materiality 85 · high

EPS 10.4400 · Estimate 6.6587 · Surprise 56.8% · Quarter ended 2026-03-31

Why this materiality
Materiality
Results released · size of the surprise versus the estimate
Confidence
52/100 · release date unavailable
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:56.695535Z
{
  "id": "yf:earnings-result:META:2026-03-31",
  "observation_id": "4d30d8fd1b11c1f0e4e78bb6a66c9875853e0ecf0a76e63a862a5a294a7b9ea3",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:56.695535Z",
  "time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
  "period_end": "2026-03-31"
}

Annual report · 10-K

SEC · filed

Materiality 40 · mediumRead the document ↗
Why this materiality
Materiality
Annual report
Confidence
95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
{
  "id": "sec:0001326801:0001628280-26-003942",
  "observation_id": "6786bafc130cd0f2f4360908700f7cdfe2d5e7414deeb70f4c1eba31f71dc14e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Operating results and financial condition · 8-K

SEC · filed

Materiality 45 · mediumRead the document ↗
Why this materiality
Materiality
Operating results and financial condition
Confidence
95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
{
  "id": "sec:0001326801:0001628280-26-003832",
  "observation_id": "6786bafc130cd0f2f4360908700f7cdfe2d5e7414deeb70f4c1eba31f71dc14e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Directors, officers or compensation · 8-K

SEC · filed

Materiality 55 · mediumRead the document ↗
Why this materiality
Materiality
Directors, officers or compensation
Confidence
95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
{
  "id": "sec:0001326801:0001628280-26-002429",
  "observation_id": "6786bafc130cd0f2f4360908700f7cdfe2d5e7414deeb70f4c1eba31f71dc14e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

Quarterly results released

Yahoo Finance · released · EPS above estimate

Materiality 61 · medium

EPS 8.8800 · Estimate 8.2225 · Surprise 8.0% · Quarter ended 2025-12-31

Why this materiality
Materiality
Results released · size of the surprise versus the estimate
Confidence
52/100 · release date unavailable
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:56.695535Z
{
  "id": "yf:earnings-result:META:2025-12-31",
  "observation_id": "4d30d8fd1b11c1f0e4e78bb6a66c9875853e0ecf0a76e63a862a5a294a7b9ea3",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:56.695535Z",
  "time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
  "period_end": "2025-12-31"
}

Directors, officers or compensation · 8-K

SEC · filed

Materiality 55 · mediumRead the document ↗
Why this materiality
Materiality
Directors, officers or compensation
Confidence
95/100 · items declared in the SEC filing
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
{
  "id": "sec:0001326801:0001628280-25-058337",
  "observation_id": "6786bafc130cd0f2f4360908700f7cdfe2d5e7414deeb70f4c1eba31f71dc14e",
  "corroborated_by": null,
  "processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z",
  "time_precision": "datetime",
  "period_end": null
}

15 low-materiality events (dividends, splits, unclassified documents) are not listed here; they remain available through the API and in the document catalog. Company filings and events ↓

Method, limitations and rules

Materiality 0–100 from versioned rules: declared 8-K items (for example bankruptcy 95, non-reliance on statements 90, officer changes 55), form type, scheduled earnings (60, +15 within 14 days), released results (45 plus up to 40 in proportion to the EPS surprise, saturating at 20%). High from 70, medium from 40. Sentiment exists only for the EPS surprise (±2%). Confidence reflects source and date precision.

Heuristic rules not calibrated on returns; document text is not read. The Yahoo calendar is not a primary source and results history lacks release dates. Macro events (Fed, CPI, PCE, jobs), guidance, M&A and news are not yet connected. Events do not change the scores.

Last checked UTC: yfinance 2026-09-28T14:53:54.777533Z · sec-edgar 2026-09-28T19:52:15.158421Z · event-materiality-v1

{
  "version": "event-materiality-v1",
  "bands": {
    "high": 70,
    "medium": 40
  },
  "source_quality": {
    "sec-edgar": 95,
    "yfinance": 65
  },
  "sec_topics": {
    "bankruptcy": 95,
    "restatement": 90,
    "debt_trigger": 75,
    "auditor": 70,
    "listing": 70,
    "cybersecurity": 65,
    "impairment": 65,
    "asset_transaction": 65,
    "restructuring": 60,
    "management": 55,
    "agreement": 50,
    "equity": 45,
    "debt": 45,
    "results": 45,
    "annual_report": 40,
    "quarterly_report": 35
  },
  "sec_unclassified": 25,
  "unclassified_confidence_multiplier": 0.6,
  "earnings_scheduled": 60,
  "earnings_imminent_bonus": 15,
  "earnings_window_days": 14,
  "earnings_reported": 45,
  "surprise_materiality_bonus": 40,
  "surprise_saturation": 0.2,
  "surprise_sentiment_threshold": 0.02,
  "minimum_estimate_abs": 0.01,
  "vendor_surprise_tolerance": 0.005,
  "dividend": 15,
  "split": 25,
  "confidence_multipliers": {
    "confirmed": 1.0,
    "estimated": 0.6,
    "status_unknown": 0.8,
    "quarter_end_only": 0.8,
    "date_passed_unconfirmed": 0.5
  },
  "corroborated_confidence": 90,
  "corroboration_days": 1,
  "result_link_max_days": 120,
  "maximum_calendar_age_hours": 48,
  "recent_days": 30
}

News that could change the thesis

9 feed headlines not shown (low materiality 3, not about the company 6)

Headlines only from Yahoo Finance (an aggregator, not a primary source): article text is neither read nor stored. Only news naming the company is shown, classified with declared rules; materiality is not a positive or negative judgement and news does not enter the scores. · news-events-v1

Company filings and events

Official SEC documents. Categories describe the declared topics, not price impact: open the source to verify what changed. These documents do not automatically change scores.

Archive needs updating: newer disclosures may exist.

Directors, officers or compensation

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗
Dates and provenance
SEC accession
0001326801-25-000027
Reported reference date
2025-04-11
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
2025-04-11T21:04:06.000000Z
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
Declared form sections
5.02, 9.01

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Directors, officers or compensation

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗
Dates and provenance
SEC accession
0001326801-25-000021
Reported reference date
2025-02-13
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
2025-02-20T21:33:09.000000Z
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
Declared form sections
5.02

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Annual report

SEC · 10-K

Read the document ↗
Dates and provenance
SEC accession
0001326801-25-000017
Reported reference date
2024-12-31
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
2025-01-30T01:00:50.000000Z
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
Declared form sections
—

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Operating results and financial condition

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗
Dates and provenance
SEC accession
0001326801-25-000014
Reported reference date
2025-01-29
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
2025-01-29T21:47:14.000000Z
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
Declared form sections
2.02, 9.01

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Directors, officers or compensation

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗
Dates and provenance
SEC accession
0001326801-25-000005
Reported reference date
2024-12-30
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
2025-01-06T21:40:45.000000Z
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
Declared form sections
5.02, 9.01

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Quarterly report

SEC · 10-Q

Read the document ↗
Dates and provenance
SEC accession
0001326801-24-000081
Reported reference date
2024-09-30
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
2024-10-30T23:54:51.000000Z
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
Declared form sections
—

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Operating results and financial condition

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗
Dates and provenance
SEC accession
0001326801-24-000077
Reported reference date
2024-10-30
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
2024-10-30T20:08:12.000000Z
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
Declared form sections
2.02, 9.01

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Company disclosure

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗
Dates and provenance
SEC accession
0001326801-24-000072
Reported reference date
2024-09-05
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
2024-09-10T20:53:12.000000Z
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
Declared form sections
5.03, 9.01

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Company disclosure

SEC · 8-K

Read the document ↗
Dates and provenance
SEC accession
0001193125-24-197873
Reported reference date
2024-08-07
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
2024-08-09T20:30:30.000000Z
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
Declared form sections
8.01, 9.01

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Quarterly report

SEC · 10-Q

Read the document ↗
Dates and provenance
SEC accession
0001326801-24-000069
Reported reference date
2024-06-30
Acceptance reported by SEC (UTC)
2024-08-01T00:14:40.000000Z
First acquired
2026-09-23T15:02:57.273419Z
Declared form sections
—

The main date is the filing date, not necessarily the event date. Acceptance time is provider-reported. First acquired indicates when Krazerr observed the document; metadata revisions retain their own acquisition dates.

Last checked UTC: 2026-09-28T19:52:15.158421Z · Up to 100 documents from the recent SEC catalog; not a complete archive

News & events →

In your portfolio

Source / Model version

Calculated at: 2026-09-28T19:53:10.902622Z

Plus 40 peer company observations, summarised here; the full list stays in the analysis feature snapshot.

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    "source": "yfinance"
  },
  {
    "available_at": "2026-09-23T15:02:56.695535Z",
    "confidence_eligible": false,
    "data_as_of": "2026-09-23T15:02:56.695535Z",
    "filing_date": null,
    "id": "4d30d8fd1b11c1f0e4e78bb6a66c9875853e0ecf0a76e63a862a5a294a7b9ea3",
    "kind": "events",
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  }
]

Model scores, not personal recommendations. Missing data is not zero.
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