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A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Investment IntelligenceÚltimo cierre: 2026-09-25 · USD
Hechos fechados ya presentes en el análisis, no previsiones. Cada punto enlaza con la sección que lo explica. · thesis-watch-v1
La fiabilidad mide los datos y el modelo, no la probabilidad de ganancia. 0 = riesgo relativamente bajo · 100 = riesgo muy alto
Comparado con empresas observadas por Krazerr, no con todo el sector. (9)
Cobertura: 83,3% · company-quality-v1.5
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Eficiencia del negocio | — | — |
| Flujo de caja | 55,6 | 9,3 |
| Calidad de los beneficios | 36,1 | 4,0 |
| Solidez financiera | 48,1 | 10,7 |
| Crecimiento | 38,9 | 8,6 |
| Rentabilidad | 44,4 | 12,3 |
Cobertura: 80,0% · confidence-v1.2
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Completitud | 87,6 | 21,9 |
| Concordancia entre fuentes | 30,0 | 4,5 |
| Certeza del calendario | 100,0 | 5,0 |
| Discrepancias contables | 94,0 | -3,1 |
| Actualidad | 43,2 | 6,5 |
| Concordancia entre modelos | — | — |
| Fiabilidad de las fuentes | 70,6 | 14,1 |
| Estabilidad | — | — |
Cobertura: 85,0% · investment-opportunity-v1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Calidad de la empresa | 45,0 | 18,5 |
| Compatibilidad con el mercado | 33,4 | 5,9 |
| Momentum | 19,2 | 2,3 |
| Ajuste por riesgo | — | -2,1 |
| Valoración | 61,1 | 18,0 |
Cobertura: 100,0% · market-compatibility-v2.2
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Amplitud | 57,7 | 5,8 |
| Liquidez | 47,4 | 4,7 |
| Tipos | 44,6 | 6,7 |
| Fuerza del sector | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Tendencia | 41,2 | 10,3 |
| Volatilidad | 39,5 | 5,9 |
Exposiciones medidas en 252 sesiones: beta S&P 500 -0,40 (t -5,1); rentabilidad por +1 punto en el 10 años -0,068 (t -4,5).
Compatibilidad = 50 + (factor de régimen − 50) × exposición. Exposiciones escaladas (beta 1,5 y 0,20 por punto = exposición plena) y reducidas cuando |t| < 2. Sensibilidad histórica, no una previsión.
Sector Servicios públicos (XLU): por encima de la media de 50 sesiones ✗, de 200 sesiones ✗; fuerza relativa a 50 sesiones frente a SPY -15,4%.
Fuerza del sector = media entre la tendencia del ETF sectorial (0, 50 o 100 según las medias superadas) y su variación frente a SPY de −5% a +5% llevada a 0–100. Describe el sector, no la empresa.
Cobertura: 100,0% · momentum-v1.1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Máximos | 60,7 | 6,7 |
| Varios horizontes | 25,4 | 5,6 |
| Fuerza relativa | 10,2 | 2,8 |
| Tendencia | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Volumen | 23,6 | 3,9 |
Cobertura: 100,0% · risk-v1.3
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Caída máxima | 22,8 | 3,4 |
| Eventos | 36,0 | 5,4 |
| Financiero | 83,0 | 12,5 |
| Liquidez | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Sensibilidad a los tipos | 45,4 | 4,5 |
| Valoración | 38,9 | 5,8 |
| Volatilidad | 5,0 | 1,0 |
Cobertura: 42,5% · timing-v1.1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Posición de entrada | 100,0 | — |
| Riesgo/beneficio | — | — |
| Corto plazo | 24,5 | — |
| Estructura | — | — |
| Confirmación de volumen | 31,4 | — |
No calculado: datos disponibles para el 42,5% de los pesos, por debajo del umbral del 60,0%. Un dato ausente no es cero.
Timing no disponible: este valor no está entre los setups del screener, así que faltan la estructura técnica, la entrada, el objetivo y la invalidación del plan. Extensión, RSI y volumen por sí solos no bastan (cobertura inferior al 60%). Un plan reconstruido a partir de los precios entraría siempre en el último cierre: no lo inventamos.
Cobertura: 70,0% · trading-opportunity-v1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|
La Trading Opportunity requiere Momentum y Timing: sin un setup del screener falta el Timing, por lo que no se calcula. La Investment Opportunity sigue disponible.
Cobertura: 100,0% · valuation-v1.4
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Absoluto | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Flujo de caja | 66,7 | 16,2 |
| Ajustado por crecimiento | 35,0 | 8,5 |
| Histórico | 85,4 | 12,8 |
| Comparables | 77,8 | 23,6 |
Las métricas anuales priorizan los estados financieros de la SEC cuando periodos, divisa y definiciones son coherentes. Si falta cobertura oficial, se muestra la fuente alternativa. Los datos ambiguos se excluyen; las métricas actuales se mantienen separadas.
| Métrica | Valor | Fuente | Ejercicios utilizados |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crecimiento del flujo de caja libre | -3.629,17% | Yahoo | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31 |
| Cobertura de intereses (×) | 2,57 | Yahoo | 2025-12-31 |
| Rotación de activos (×) | 0,17 | SEC | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31 |
| Estabilidad de los beneficios | 0,82 | SEC | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31 |
| Estabilidad del margen operativo | 0,96 | SEC | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31 |
La estabilidad va de 0 a 1: más alta significa menor variabilidad en tres ejercicios positivos observados. No es una probabilidad de beneficio. Las métricas ausentes siguen no disponibles.
yfinance · USD
Primera adquisición: 2026-09-23T15:25:01.647779Z
| Cierre del ejercicio | Ingresos | Beneficio neto | Flujo de caja operativo | Inversiones (flujo con signo) | Activos totales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 32.237.000.000 | 4.968.000.000 | 12.330.000.000 | -14.024.000.000 | 195.736.000.000 |
| 2024-12-31 | 30.357.000.000 | 4.524.000.000 | 12.328.000.000 | -12.280.000.000 | 186.343.000.000 |
| 2023-12-31 | 29.060.000.000 | 2.841.000.000 | 9.878.000.000 | -12.604.000.000 | 176.893.000.000 |
| 2022-12-31 | 28.768.000.000 | 2.550.000.000 | 5.927.000.000 | -11.367.000.000 | 178.086.000.000 |
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}Cierre del ejercicio: 2025-12-31 · 3/5 valores comparados coinciden
Es una comprobación numérica de cinco partidas del último ejercicio, no una verificación contable independiente: Yahoo puede derivar de los mismos documentos SEC. La aportación positiva a la Fiabilidad es limitada; las discrepancias aplican una reducción separada y visible.
Reducción de la Fiabilidad por discrepancias: 6,0% · Δ -3,12
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}Comparación numérica SEC–Yahoo por ejercicio y divisa. Que los números coincidan no certifica definiciones contables idénticas. Las fuentes de cada métrica y el efecto en la fiabilidad se muestran arriba.
Valores coincidentes en los ejercicios comparados: 15 · Diferencias a revisar: 5 · Valores no comparables o ausentes: 22
Primera adquisición: 2026-09-26T19:01:09.358901Z
10-K · Presentado el 2026-02-26
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 31.741.000.000 USD | 32.237.000.000 USD | Diferencia a revisar |
| Resultado operativo | 8.626.000.000 USD | 8.577.000.000 USD | Diferencia a revisar |
| Beneficio neto | 4.968.000.000 USD | 4.968.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 12.330.000.000 USD | 12.330.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Activos totales | 195.736.000.000 USD | 195.736.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 14.024.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2026-02-26
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 30.050.000.000 USD | 30.357.000.000 USD | Diferencia a revisar |
| Resultado operativo | 7.926.000.000 USD | 7.938.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Beneficio neto | 4.524.000.000 USD | 4.524.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 12.328.000.000 USD | 12.328.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Activos totales | 186.343.000.000 USD | 186.343.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 12.280.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2026-02-26
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 28.674.000.000 USD | 29.060.000.000 USD | Diferencia a revisar |
| Resultado operativo | 7.070.000.000 USD | 7.103.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Beneficio neto | 2.841.000.000 USD | 2.841.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 9.878.000.000 USD | 9.878.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Activos totales | 176.893.000.000 USD | 176.893.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 12.604.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2025-02-27
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 28.675.000.000 USD | 28.768.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Resultado operativo | 6.012.000.000 USD | 6.424.000.000 USD | Diferencia a revisar |
| Beneficio neto | 2.550.000.000 USD | 2.550.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 5.927.000.000 USD | 5.927.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Activos totales | 178.086.000.000 USD | 178.086.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 11.367.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2024-02-23
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 24.486.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Resultado operativo | 5.500.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Beneficio neto | 3.908.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 8.290.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Activos totales | 169.587.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 9.715.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2023-02-27
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 23.253.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Resultado operativo | 4.571.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Beneficio neto | 1.377.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 8.856.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Activos totales | 162.388.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 9.907.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}Los pagos SEC por inmovilizado y por desarrollo de software son componentes distintos. No se equiparan automáticamente con el capex o el flujo de caja libre de Yahoo. Sin sumas ni reconstrucciones implícitas.
PER actual 18,0 frente a una mediana histórica de 23,9 en 9 ejercicios: puntuación 85,4.
| Cierre del ejercicio | BPA diluido (ajustado por splits) | Precio medio en las 52 semanas siguientes | P/E |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-12-31 | 3,11 | 84,15 | 27,1 |
| 2017-12-31 | 4,36 | 80,22 | 18,4 |
| 2018-12-31 | 3,76 | 89,97 | 23,9 |
| 2019-12-31 | 5,06 | 87,69 | 17,3 |
| 2020-12-31 | 1,72 | 99,11 | 57,6 |
| 2021-12-31 | 4,94 | 104,39 | 21,1 |
| 2022-12-31 | 3,17 | 94,02 | 29,7 |
| 2023-12-31 | 3,54 | 105,06 | 29,7 |
| 2024-12-31 | 5,71 | 118,88 | 20,8 |
Para cada ejercicio pasado con beneficios positivos: precio semanal medio en los 12 meses tras el cierre dividido por el BPA diluido del 10-K (SEC), ajustado por los splits posteriores a la presentación. El PER actual usa el último precio y el último BPA anual, misma definición. Puntuación 50 en la mediana, 100 a dos tercios de ella, 0 a 1,5 veces (escala logarítmica). Se requieren al menos 3 ejercicios. Un valor caro frente a su historia puede seguir siéndolo: no es una previsión.
SEC XBRL · Yahoo · historical-pe-v1
Cómo cambian las expectativas de los analistas. Un indicador separado de la calidad de la empresa: no es una probabilidad de revalorización.
Adquirido el: 2026-09-28T15:26:46.165548Z · yfinance
EPS: 1,8318 USD · Analistas del BPA: 12
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 1,8368 | -0,0050 | -0,3% |
| 30d | 1,8368 | -0,0050 | -0,3% |
| 60d | 1,8826 | -0,0508 | -2,7% |
| 90d | 1,9115 | -0,0797 | -4,2% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 3 · 30d ↑ 3 / ↓ 8
Consenso de ingresos: 8.912.292.420 USD
EPS: 1,5388 USD · Analistas del BPA: 12
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 1,5496 | -0,0108 | -0,7% |
| 30d | 1,5496 | -0,0108 | -0,7% |
| 60d | 1,5889 | -0,0501 | -3,2% |
| 90d | 1,5813 | -0,0426 | -2,7% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 3 · 30d ↑ 1 / ↓ 10
Consenso de ingresos: 8.026.694.360 USD
EPS: 6,7104 USD · Analistas del BPA: 21
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 6,7109 | -0,0005 | -0,0% |
| 30d | 6,7109 | -0,0005 | -0,0% |
| 60d | 6,7037 | 0,0068 | 0,1% |
| 90d | 6,7041 | 0,0063 | 0,1% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 1 / ↓ 0 · 30d ↑ 3 / ↓ 2
Consenso de ingresos: 33.736.746.310 USD
EPS: 7,1714 USD · Analistas del BPA: 21
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 7,1723 | -0,0010 | -0,0% |
| 30d | 7,1723 | -0,0010 | -0,0% |
| 60d | 7,1684 | 0,0029 | 0,0% |
| 90d | 7,1687 | 0,0027 | 0,0% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 2 / ↓ 1 · 30d ↑ 5 / ↓ 4
Consenso de ingresos: 35.284.263.210 USD
Puntuación heurística 0–100: magnitud de la variación del BPA (65%) y saldo de revisiones a 30 días (35%). Las ventanas de 7/30/60/90 días pesan 10/40/20/30%; variaciones de −20% a +20% se llevan a 0–100. El resumen usa siempre el año en curso. Pesos y contribuciones disponibles más abajo.
Los periodos son relativos a la adquisición: esta fuente no da un cierre fiscal verificado. La divisa y la base contable del BPA no se verifican de forma independiente. Los recuentos son revisiones, no necesariamente analistas distintos. Las estimaciones anteriores se adquirieron con esta instantánea y no estaban disponibles para este sistema en sus fechas pasadas. Las previsiones de la empresa no están disponibles en esta fuente.
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},
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"status": "partial",
"warnings": [
"relative_forecast_periods_no_fiscal_end",
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]
}Cómo cambió, día a día, la lectura de Krazerr sobre esta acción. Derivado de instantáneas inmutables: el pasado nunca se reescribe.
Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo · investment-intelligence-v1.21
thesis-memory-v1 · Cambios señalados desde 10 puntos, solo dentro de la misma versión del modelo.
Sensibilidad estimada del escenario según supuestos del modelo y relaciones históricas. No es una predicción ni un intervalo de probabilidad calibrado.
Eventos que podrían cambiar la tesis. La relevancia es una regla declarada sobre hechos estructurados: no es una previsión de precio ni un juicio positivo o negativo.
Desde el modelo v1.6, la familia «Eventos» del riesgo usa estos valores (más alto = más riesgo). Una fecha desconocida sigue no disponible; no se interpreta como ausencia de resultados próximos.
| Riesgo | /100 | Por qué esta puntuación |
|---|---|---|
| Riesgo por resultados | 20 | resultados previstos: 90 en 5 días, 20 más allá de 21 · en 38 días |
| Riesgo por eventos relevantes | 52 | documento SEC relevante en los últimos 30 días, peso decreciente con la antigüedad |
event-risk-v1 · event-materiality-v1
Una fuente de eventos no se ha actualizado recientemente: las fechas previstas y el catálogo pueden haber cambiado.
Yahoo Finance · previsto · fecha confirmada por el proveedor
Relevancia 60 · media{
"id": "yf:earnings:DUK:2026-11-05T12:30:00.000000Z",
"observation_id": "09fb9814cfecadd2715ed3e1804475e7091db508ace8633bcfe49ed7b141ac3a",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:02.303218Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}SEC · presentado
Relevancia 55 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-110588",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Yahoo Finance · publicado · BPA por encima de la estimación
Relevancia 64 · mediaEPS 1,4300 · Estimación 1,3046 · Sorpresa 9,6% · Trimestre cerrado el 2026-06-30
{
"id": "yf:earnings:DUK:2026-08-04T12:30:00.000000Z",
"observation_id": "09fb9814cfecadd2715ed3e1804475e7091db508ace8633bcfe49ed7b141ac3a",
"corroborated_by": "sec:0001326160:0001326160-26-000037",
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:02.303218Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": "2026-06-30"
}SEC · presentado
Relevancia 45 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001326160-26-000037",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}SEC · presentado
Relevancia 45 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001326160-26-000022",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}SEC · presentado
Relevancia 65 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-038007",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}Yahoo Finance · publicado · BPA por encima de la estimación
Relevancia 59 · mediaEPS 1,9300 · Estimación 1,7998 · Sorpresa 7,2% · Trimestre cerrado el 2026-03-31
{
"id": "yf:earnings-result:DUK:2026-03-31",
"observation_id": "09fb9814cfecadd2715ed3e1804475e7091db508ace8633bcfe49ed7b141ac3a",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-23T15:25:02.303218Z",
"time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
"period_end": "2026-03-31"
}SEC · presentado
Relevancia 50 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-028490",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}SEC · presentado
Relevancia 45 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-027080",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}SEC · presentado
Relevancia 50 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-024729",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}SEC · presentado
Relevancia 65 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
"id": "sec:0001326160:0001104659-26-022610",
"observation_id": "15026fec134b64247cea2118647e49bdae7a7d0e373a66ef64d5a8ce0334f407",
"corroborated_by": null,
"processed_at": "2026-09-26T05:45:43.495809Z",
"time_precision": "datetime",
"period_end": null
}58 eventos de baja relevancia (dividendos, splits, documentos sin clasificar) no se listan aquí; siguen disponibles en la API y en el catálogo de documentos. Documentos y eventos corporativos ↓
Relevancia 0–100 según reglas versionadas: secciones 8-K declaradas (por ejemplo quiebra 95, estados no fiables 90, cambios de directivos 55), tipo de formulario, resultados previstos (60, +15 en 14 días), resultados publicados (45 más hasta 40 en proporción a la sorpresa del BPA, saturando al 20%). Alta desde 70, media desde 40. El sentimiento existe solo para la sorpresa del BPA (±2%). La confianza refleja la fuente y la precisión de la fecha.
Reglas heurísticas no calibradas con rentabilidades; no se lee el texto de los documentos. El calendario de Yahoo no es una fuente primaria y el historial de resultados carece de fechas de publicación. Eventos macro (Fed, IPC, PCE, empleo), previsiones, fusiones y noticias aún no están conectados. Los eventos no modifican las puntuaciones.
Última comprobación UTC: yfinance 2026-09-28T15:26:46.603975Z · sec-edgar 2026-09-28T18:45:25.204091Z · event-materiality-v1
{
"version": "event-materiality-v1",
"bands": {
"high": 70,
"medium": 40
},
"source_quality": {
"sec-edgar": 95,
"yfinance": 65
},
"sec_topics": {
"bankruptcy": 95,
"restatement": 90,
"debt_trigger": 75,
"auditor": 70,
"listing": 70,
"cybersecurity": 65,
"impairment": 65,
"asset_transaction": 65,
"restructuring": 60,
"management": 55,
"agreement": 50,
"equity": 45,
"debt": 45,
"results": 45,
"annual_report": 40,
"quarterly_report": 35
},
"sec_unclassified": 25,
"unclassified_confidence_multiplier": 0.6,
"earnings_scheduled": 60,
"earnings_imminent_bonus": 15,
"earnings_window_days": 14,
"earnings_reported": 45,
"surprise_materiality_bonus": 40,
"surprise_saturation": 0.2,
"surprise_sentiment_threshold": 0.02,
"minimum_estimate_abs": 0.01,
"vendor_surprise_tolerance": 0.005,
"dividend": 15,
"split": 25,
"confidence_multipliers": {
"confirmed": 1.0,
"estimated": 0.6,
"status_unknown": 0.8,
"quarter_end_only": 0.8,
"date_passed_unconfirmed": 0.5
},
"corroborated_confidence": 90,
"corroboration_days": 1,
"result_link_max_days": 120,
"maximum_calendar_age_hours": 48,
"recent_days": 30
}Ninguna noticia reciente que trate directamente de la empresa.
10 titulares del feed no mostrados (comentarios o comparaciones 3, poco relevantes 2, no tratan de la empresa 5)
Solo titulares de Yahoo Finance (agregador, no fuente primaria): el texto de los artículos no se lee ni se guarda. Solo se muestran las noticias que nombran a la empresa, clasificadas con reglas declaradas; la materialidad no es un juicio positivo o negativo y las noticias no entran en las puntuaciones. · news-events-v1
Documentos oficiales de la SEC. Las categorías describen los temas declarados, no el impacto en el precio: abra la fuente para verificar qué cambió. Estos documentos no modifican automáticamente las puntuaciones.
El archivo necesita actualizarse: puede haber comunicaciones más recientes.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 10-Q
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 10-Q
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
Última comprobación UTC: 2026-09-28T18:45:25.204091Z · Hasta 100 documentos del catálogo SEC reciente; no es un archivo completo
Calculado el: 2026-09-28T15:27:18.320347Z
Más 36 observaciones de las empresas comparables, resumidas aquí; la lista completa se conserva en la feature snapshot del análisis.
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},
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]Puntuaciones del modelo, no recomendaciones personales. Un dato ausente no es cero.
Método, fuentes y límites · Validación · Track Record · Noticias y eventos · Tu espacio