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Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Investment IntelligenceDatos de mercado caducados: oportunidades suspendidas hasta una actualización.
Último cierre: 2026-09-25 · USD
Hechos fechados ya presentes en el análisis, no previsiones. Cada punto enlaza con la sección que lo explica. · thesis-watch-v1
La fiabilidad mide los datos y el modelo, no la probabilidad de ganancia. 0 = riesgo relativamente bajo · 100 = riesgo muy alto
Comparado con empresas observadas por Krazerr, no con todo el sector. (9)
Cobertura: 83,3% · company-quality-v1.5
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Eficiencia del negocio | — | — |
| Flujo de caja | 72,2 | 12,0 |
| Calidad de los beneficios | 75,0 | 8,3 |
| Solidez financiera | 51,9 | 11,5 |
| Crecimiento | 50,0 | 11,1 |
| Rentabilidad | 16,7 | 4,6 |
Cobertura: 80,0% · confidence-v1.2
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Completitud | 85,1 | 21,3 |
| Concordancia entre fuentes | 40,0 | 6,0 |
| Certeza del calendario | 60,0 | 3,0 |
| Discrepancias contables | 100,0 | 0,0 |
| Actualidad | 43,2 | 6,5 |
| Concordancia entre modelos | — | — |
| Fiabilidad de las fuentes | 70,6 | 14,1 |
| Estabilidad | — | — |
Cobertura: 85,0% · investment-opportunity-v1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Calidad de la empresa | 47,6 | 19,6 |
| Compatibilidad con el mercado | 33,4 | 5,9 |
| Momentum | 14,4 | 1,7 |
| Ajuste por riesgo | — | -2,4 |
| Valoración | 55,2 | 16,2 |
Cobertura: 100,0% · market-compatibility-v2.2
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Amplitud | 57,2 | 5,7 |
| Liquidez | 47,6 | 4,8 |
| Tipos | 42,7 | 6,4 |
| Fuerza del sector | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Tendencia | 41,8 | 10,4 |
| Volatilidad | 40,2 | 6,0 |
Exposiciones medidas en 252 sesiones: beta S&P 500 -0,37 (t -3,9); rentabilidad por +1 punto en el 10 años -0,091 (t -5,0).
Compatibilidad = 50 + (factor de régimen − 50) × exposición. Exposiciones escaladas (beta 1,5 y 0,20 por punto = exposición plena) y reducidas cuando |t| < 2. Sensibilidad histórica, no una previsión.
Sector Servicios públicos (XLU): por encima de la media de 50 sesiones ✗, de 200 sesiones ✗; fuerza relativa a 50 sesiones frente a SPY -15,4%.
Fuerza del sector = media entre la tendencia del ETF sectorial (0, 50 o 100 según las medias superadas) y su variación frente a SPY de −5% a +5% llevada a 0–100. Describe el sector, no la empresa.
Cobertura: 100,0% · momentum-v1.1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Máximos | 49,1 | 5,5 |
| Varios horizontes | 21,2 | 4,7 |
| Fuerza relativa | 3,5 | 1,0 |
| Tendencia | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Volumen | 19,8 | 3,3 |
Cobertura: 100,0% · risk-v1.3
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Caída máxima | 30,9 | 4,6 |
| Eventos | 20,0 | 3,0 |
| Financiero | 87,3 | 13,1 |
| Liquidez | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Sensibilidad a los tipos | 60,9 | 6,1 |
| Valoración | 44,8 | 6,7 |
| Volatilidad | 6,6 | 1,3 |
Cobertura: 42,5% · timing-v1.1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Posición de entrada | 100,0 | — |
| Riesgo/beneficio | — | — |
| Corto plazo | 22,2 | — |
| Estructura | — | — |
| Confirmación de volumen | 26,4 | — |
No calculado: datos disponibles para el 42,5% de los pesos, por debajo del umbral del 60,0%. Un dato ausente no es cero.
Timing no disponible: este valor no está entre los setups del screener, así que faltan la estructura técnica, la entrada, el objetivo y la invalidación del plan. Extensión, RSI y volumen por sí solos no bastan (cobertura inferior al 60%). Un plan reconstruido a partir de los precios entraría siempre en el último cierre: no lo inventamos.
Cobertura: 70,0% · trading-opportunity-v1
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|
La Trading Opportunity requiere Momentum y Timing: sin un setup del screener falta el Timing, por lo que no se calcula. La Investment Opportunity sigue disponible.
Cobertura: 85,0% · valuation-v1.4
| Por qué esta puntuación | Score | Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Absoluto | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Flujo de caja | 55,6 | 15,9 |
| Ajustado por crecimiento | 30,1 | 8,6 |
| Histórico | — | — |
| Comparables | 86,1 | 30,8 |
Las métricas anuales priorizan los estados financieros de la SEC cuando periodos, divisa y definiciones son coherentes. Si falta cobertura oficial, se muestra la fuente alternativa. Los datos ambiguos se excluyen; las métricas actuales se mantienen separadas.
| Métrica | Valor | Fuente | Ejercicios utilizados |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crecimiento del flujo de caja libre | — | — · No calculable | — |
| Cobertura de intereses (×) | 2,55 | Yahoo | 2025-12-31 |
| Rotación de activos (×) | 0,22 | SEC | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31 |
| Estabilidad de los beneficios | 0,93 | Yahoo | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31 |
| Estabilidad del margen operativo | 0,94 | SEC | 2025-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2023-12-31 |
La estabilidad va de 0 a 1: más alta significa menor variabilidad en tres ejercicios positivos observados. No es una probabilidad de beneficio. Las métricas ausentes siguen no disponibles.
yfinance · USD
Primera adquisición: 2026-09-23T15:25:16.972751Z
| Cierre del ejercicio | Ingresos | Beneficio neto | Flujo de caja operativo | Inversiones (flujo con signo) | Activos totales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 24.258.000.000 | 2.768.000.000 | 6.254.000.000 | -8.529.000.000 | 116.570.000.000 |
| 2024-12-31 | 23.028.000.000 | 2.460.000.000 | 5.569.000.000 | -7.097.000.000 | 107.784.000.000 |
| 2023-12-31 | 21.727.000.000 | 2.328.000.000 | 4.703.000.000 | -7.408.000.000 | 101.856.000.000 |
| 2022-12-31 | 19.078.000.000 | 2.170.000.000 | 4.870.000.000 | -7.147.000.000 | 95.349.000.000 |
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}Cierre del ejercicio: 2025-12-31 · 4/4 valores comparados coinciden
Es una comprobación numérica de cinco partidas del último ejercicio, no una verificación contable independiente: Yahoo puede derivar de los mismos documentos SEC. La aportación positiva a la Fiabilidad es limitada; las discrepancias aplican una reducción separada y visible.
Reducción de la Fiabilidad por discrepancias: 0,0% · Δ 0,00
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Valores coincidentes en los ejercicios comparados: 14 · Diferencias a revisar: 0 · Valores no comparables o ausentes: 28
Primera adquisición: 2026-09-23T15:25:19.319505Z
10-K · Presentado el 2026-02-12
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 24.258.000.000 USD | 24.258.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Resultado operativo | 5.148.000.000 USD | 5.145.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Beneficio neto | — | 2.768.000.000 USD | Falta el valor oficial |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 6.254.000.000 USD | 6.254.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Activos totales | 116.570.000.000 USD | 116.570.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 8.529.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2026-02-12
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 23.028.000.000 USD | 23.028.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Resultado operativo | 4.319.000.000 USD | 4.307.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Beneficio neto | — | 2.460.000.000 USD | Falta el valor oficial |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 5.569.000.000 USD | 5.569.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Activos totales | 107.784.000.000 USD | 107.784.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 7.097.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2026-02-12
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 21.727.000.000 USD | 21.727.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Resultado operativo | 4.023.000.000 USD | 4.013.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Beneficio neto | — | 2.328.000.000 USD | Falta el valor oficial |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 4.703.000.000 USD | 4.703.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Activos totales | — | 101.856.000.000 USD | Falta el valor oficial |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 7.408.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2025-02-12
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 19.078.000.000 USD | 19.078.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Resultado operativo | 3.315.000.000 USD | 3.317.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Beneficio neto | — | 2.170.000.000 USD | Falta el valor oficial |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 4.870.000.000 USD | 4.870.000.000 USD | Coinciden dentro de la tolerancia |
| Activos totales | — | 95.349.000.000 USD | Falta el valor oficial |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 7.147.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2024-02-21
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 17.938.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Resultado operativo | 2.682.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Beneficio neto | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 3.012.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Activos totales | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 7.981.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}10-K · Presentado el 2023-02-14
Leer el documento ↗| Métrica | SEC | Yahoo | Resultado de la comparación |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ingresos | 16.663.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Resultado operativo | 2.191.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Beneficio neto | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
| Flujo de caja operativo | 4.235.000.000 USD | — | Falta el valor de Yahoo |
| Activos totales | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
| Pagos por inmovilizado material | 8.048.000.000 USD | — | Componente distinto: no comparado |
| Pagos por desarrollo de software | — | — | Falta el valor oficial |
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}Los pagos SEC por inmovilizado y por desarrollo de software son componentes distintos. No se equiparan automáticamente con el capex o el flujo de caja libre de Yahoo. Sin sumas ni reconstrucciones implícitas.
Último BPA anual demasiado antiguo: comparación no calculada.
Para cada ejercicio pasado con beneficios positivos: precio semanal medio en los 12 meses tras el cierre dividido por el BPA diluido del 10-K (SEC), ajustado por los splits posteriores a la presentación. El PER actual usa el último precio y el último BPA anual, misma definición. Puntuación 50 en la mediana, 100 a dos tercios de ella, 0 a 1,5 veces (escala logarítmica). Se requieren al menos 3 ejercicios. Un valor caro frente a su historia puede seguir siéndolo: no es una previsión.
SEC XBRL · Yahoo · historical-pe-v1
Cómo cambian las expectativas de los analistas. Un indicador separado de la calidad de la empresa: no es una probabilidad de revalorización.
Adquirido el: 2026-09-28T15:26:47.657186Z · yfinance
EPS: 0,8088 USD · Analistas del BPA: 11
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 0,8206 | -0,0118 | -1,4% |
| 30d | 0,8350 | -0,0262 | -3,1% |
| 60d | 0,8843 | -0,0755 | -8,5% |
| 90d | 0,8828 | -0,0740 | -8,4% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 1 · 30d ↑ 0 / ↓ 7
Consenso de ingresos: 6.813.311.190 USD
EPS: 0,8267 USD · Analistas del BPA: 3
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 0,7867 | 0,0400 | 5,1% |
| 30d | 0,6325 | 0,1942 | 30,7% |
| 60d | 0,6325 | 0,1942 | 30,7% |
| 90d | 0,6175 | 0,2092 | 33,9% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 1 / ↓ 0 · 30d ↑ 2 / ↓ 0
Consenso de ingresos: 5.605.514.010 USD
EPS: 2,8567 USD · Analistas del BPA: 18
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 2,8567 | 0,0000 | 0,0% |
| 30d | 2,8567 | 0,0000 | 0,0% |
| 60d | 2,8574 | -0,0006 | -0,0% |
| 90d | 2,8557 | 0,0010 | 0,0% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 0 / ↓ 1 · 30d ↑ 3 / ↓ 3
Consenso de ingresos: 25.534.594.570 USD
EPS: 3,0383 USD · Analistas del BPA: 19
| Estimación anterior | EPS | Δ EPS | Δ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | 3,0383 | 0,0000 | 0,0% |
| 30d | 3,0383 | 0,0000 | 0,0% |
| 60d | 3,0384 | -0,0001 | -0,0% |
| 90d | 3,0379 | 0,0004 | 0,0% |
Revisiones al alza / a la baja: 7d ↑ 1 / ↓ 1 · 30d ↑ 1 / ↓ 2
Consenso de ingresos: 26.326.825.640 USD
Puntuación heurística 0–100: magnitud de la variación del BPA (65%) y saldo de revisiones a 30 días (35%). Las ventanas de 7/30/60/90 días pesan 10/40/20/30%; variaciones de −20% a +20% se llevan a 0–100. El resumen usa siempre el año en curso. Pesos y contribuciones disponibles más abajo.
Los periodos son relativos a la adquisición: esta fuente no da un cierre fiscal verificado. La divisa y la base contable del BPA no se verifican de forma independiente. Los recuentos son revisiones, no necesariamente analistas distintos. Las estimaciones anteriores se adquirieron con esta instantánea y no estaban disponibles para este sistema en sus fechas pasadas. Las previsiones de la empresa no están disponibles en esta fuente.
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}Cómo cambió, día a día, la lectura de Krazerr sobre esta acción. Derivado de instantáneas inmutables: el pasado nunca se reescribe.
Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo · investment-intelligence-v1.22
Por qué ahora: —
A tener en cuenta: —
Régimen de mercado: Favorable al riesgo · investment-intelligence-v1.21
thesis-memory-v1 · Cambios señalados desde 10 puntos, solo dentro de la misma versión del modelo.
Sensibilidad estimada del escenario según supuestos del modelo y relaciones históricas. No es una predicción ni un intervalo de probabilidad calibrado.
Eventos que podrían cambiar la tesis. La relevancia es una regla declarada sobre hechos estructurados: no es una previsión de precio ni un juicio positivo o negativo.
Desde el modelo v1.6, la familia «Eventos» del riesgo usa estos valores (más alto = más riesgo). Una fecha desconocida sigue no disponible; no se interpreta como ausencia de resultados próximos.
| Riesgo | /100 | Por qué esta puntuación |
|---|---|---|
| Riesgo por resultados | 20 | resultados previstos: 90 en 5 días, 20 más allá de 21 · en 36 días |
| Riesgo por eventos relevantes | 20 | ningún documento SEC relevante en los últimos 30 días: nivel base |
event-risk-v1 · event-materiality-v1
Una fuente de eventos no se ha actualizado recientemente: las fechas previstas y el catálogo pueden haber cambiado.
Yahoo Finance · previsto · fecha estimada por el proveedor
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Relevancia 45 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
"id": "sec:0001109357:0001109357-25-000179",
"observation_id": "40f22d22193f3c99f4c2a4861fd1c945ab3dde449fdc2f7cf81d55b78fa94f3b",
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}Yahoo Finance · publicado · BPA por encima de la estimación
Relevancia 66 · mediaEPS 0,8600 · Estimación 0,7780 · Sorpresa 10,5% · Trimestre cerrado el 2025-09-30
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"time_precision": "quarter_end_only",
"period_end": "2025-09-30"
}SEC · presentado
Relevancia 45 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
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Relevancia 50 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
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Relevancia 45 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
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Relevancia 55 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
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Relevancia 50 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
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Relevancia 40 · mediaLeer el documento ↗{
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}45 eventos de baja relevancia (dividendos, splits, documentos sin clasificar) no se listan aquí; siguen disponibles en la API y en el catálogo de documentos. Documentos y eventos corporativos ↓
Relevancia 0–100 según reglas versionadas: secciones 8-K declaradas (por ejemplo quiebra 95, estados no fiables 90, cambios de directivos 55), tipo de formulario, resultados previstos (60, +15 en 14 días), resultados publicados (45 más hasta 40 en proporción a la sorpresa del BPA, saturando al 20%). Alta desde 70, media desde 40. El sentimiento existe solo para la sorpresa del BPA (±2%). La confianza refleja la fuente y la precisión de la fecha.
Reglas heurísticas no calibradas con rentabilidades; no se lee el texto de los documentos. El calendario de Yahoo no es una fuente primaria y el historial de resultados carece de fechas de publicación. Eventos macro (Fed, IPC, PCE, empleo), previsiones, fusiones y noticias aún no están conectados. Los eventos no modifican las puntuaciones.
Última comprobación UTC: yfinance 2026-09-28T15:26:48.249517Z · sec-edgar 2026-09-28T18:45:25.881008Z · event-materiality-v1
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}Ninguna noticia reciente que trate directamente de la empresa.
10 titulares del feed no mostrados (comentarios o comparaciones 3, poco relevantes 3, no tratan de la empresa 4)
Solo titulares de Yahoo Finance (agregador, no fuente primaria): el texto de los artículos no se lee ni se guarda. Solo se muestran las noticias que nombran a la empresa, clasificadas con reglas declaradas; la materialidad no es un juicio positivo o negativo y las noticias no entran en las puntuaciones. · news-events-v1
Documentos oficiales de la SEC. Las categorías describen los temas declarados, no el impacto en el precio: abra la fuente para verificar qué cambió. Estos documentos no modifican automáticamente las puntuaciones.
El archivo necesita actualizarse: puede haber comunicaciones más recientes.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 10-Q
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 10-Q
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 10-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
SEC · 8-K
Leer el documento ↗La fecha principal es la de presentación, no necesariamente la del evento. La hora de aceptación la comunica el proveedor. «Primera adquisición» indica cuándo Krazerr observó el documento; las revisiones de metadatos conservan sus propias fechas.
Última comprobación UTC: 2026-09-28T18:45:25.881008Z · Hasta 100 documentos del catálogo SEC reciente; no es un archivo completo
Calculado el: 2026-09-28T15:27:19.583950Z
Más 36 observaciones de las empresas comparables, resumidas aquí; la lista completa se conserva en la feature snapshot del análisis.
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"source": "yfinance"
}
]Puntuaciones del modelo, no recomendaciones personales. Un dato ausente no es cero.
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